SkyAnalyst/Journal/Recaps/Feb 23 - Mar 1, 2026
SkyAnalyst Journal · Weekly RecapFeb 23 - Mar 1, 2026

Republished: Feb 23 to Mar 1 Closes +1.21R After the Cancelled-Trade Fix

Seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.21R net on a TP1 baseline. Original printed nine trades and +0.80R; the cancelled-trade fix dropped one paused NAS1

Net result
+1.2R
7 trades · 57.1% win rate · Feb 23 - Mar 1, 2026
SA
The SkyAnalyst Team
AI Research & Trading Desk
4 de mayo de 2026·8 min de lectura·Weekly Recap · Long
Instrument
Multi · Weekly Recap
Direction · Session
Long · Feb 23 - Mar 1, 2026
Duration
Outcome
+1.21R
7 trades · 57.1% win rate
Section 00 · The system

Before the trade, meet the system.

SkyAnalyst is not one AI trader. It is four specialist agents — each with its own data pipeline, each maintaining state between evaluations, and each required to agree before a position is sized. They don’t chat in prose. They write structured messages to a shared state object that each reads on every evaluation cycle.

Trend
Reads 5m / 15m / 60m charts, scores structure, triggers entries when confluence clears the threshold.
Macro
Gates regime before any pattern. Reads yields, DXY, VIX, oil — the tape behind the tape.
Cross-Asset
Checks correlated markets. Vetoes false breaks, confirms real ones.
Risk
Sizes positions, sets stops, enforces portfolio exposure.

Seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.21R net on a TP1 baseline. That is the corrected scorecard for Feb 23 to Mar 1, 2026, replacing the version we published two months ago at nine trades, five winners, four losses, +0.80R net. One of those nine rows was a paused-mid-trade NAS100 entry from Feb 26 the broker never filled to completion and the admin trading dashboard never counted. The cancelled-trade exclusion fix in the data layer dropped it. The corrected week is +1.21R, not +0.80R; per-instrument splits redistribute accordingly. Through Mar 2, 2026, the system has banked +7.43R YTD across 24 trades from Jan 12 inception. The simulated $100,000 account at 2 percent risk per trade sits at $114,860 on a static basis. Equity traveled from $100,000 up to $101,196.35 on Tuesday's NAS100 winner, settled at $98,580.44 by Thursday, peaked at $104,417.08 on Friday's US30 primary fade, and closed at $102,417.08 after Friday's US500 stop. Four of the seven trades became standalone studies: Tuesday's NAS100 pullback long (+0.60R credited), Tuesday's NAS100 buy-the-dip (+0.69R credited), Friday's US500 intraday fade (+1.19R credited), and Friday's US30 primary fade (+1.73R credited). Drawdown context: the regenerated weekly drawdown report. Longer-window: the corrected February monthly recap and prior week's recap.

Act 1: Tuesday's NAS100 pair, one US30 stop in the middle

Tuesday Feb 24 produced three trades. A NAS100 pullback long at 15:01 UTC ran to TP3 for +0.60R credited. Thirty-two minutes later a US30 mean-revert short stopped at minus 1R as the index held resistance. Sixty-eight minutes after that, a second NAS100 long, a buy-the-dip into reclaimed VWAP/EMAs at 16:41 UTC, ran to TP3 for +0.69R credited. Both NAS100 entries became standalone studies. Equity closed Tuesday at $100,580.44, week +0.29R cumulative.

Act 2: Thursday's US30 stop, the week dips below water

Wed Feb 25 produced no qualifying setups. Thu Feb 26 produced one trade: a US30 buy-the-dip long at 16:11 UTC that stopped at minus 1R as the support shelf failed inside the next hour. Equity pulled to $98,580.44, leaving the week at minus 0.71R cumulative heading into Friday.

Act 3: Friday's three-trade burst, the week settles +1.21R

Fri Feb 27 produced three trades inside twenty-six minutes. A US500 intraday fade short at 16:13 UTC ran to TP3 for +1.19R credited. A US30 primary fade short at 16:33 UTC ran to TP3 for +1.73R credited, the largest winner of the week. Six minutes after that, a US500 pullback long at 16:39 UTC stopped at minus 1R. Equity peaked at $104,417.08 between the second and third trades, then settled at $102,417.08, leaving the week +1.21R cumulative.

Perspectiva clave
“Corrected republish of the Feb 23 to Mar 1 recap. The original counted one paused-mid-trade NAS100 row from Feb 26 that the admin trading dashboard never tallied. The cancelled-trade exclusion fix dropped that row. The corrected ledger is seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.21R net.”
From the desk · May 3, 2026
Section 03 · The audit trail

Every trade the system took.

4 winners3 losers·Winners link to full case study
|
DateTimeInstrumentDirModelSetupGradeR$ SimResultDetails
Feb 2415:01 UTCNAS100LongunknownSetup #1 · NAS100 LONG (pullback buy)C++0.60R+$1,196TP3 hitRead case →
Feb 2415:33 UTCUS30ShortunknownUS30 SHORT (mean-revert at resistance)C+-1.0R-$2,000Stop hit-
Feb 2416:41 UTCNAS100LongunknownBuy-the-dip into reclaimed VWAP/EMAsC++0.69R+$1,384TP3 hitRead case →
Feb 2616:11 UTCUS30LongunknownUS30 LONG (Buy-the-dip)C+-1.0R-$2,000Stop hit-
Feb 2716:13 UTCUS500ShortunknownUS500 Intraday Fade into ResistanceB+1.19R+$2,375TP3 hitRead case →
Feb 2716:33 UTCUS30ShortunknownSetup #1 — US30 SHORT (Primary Fade)C++1.73R+$3,462TP3 hit · ★ Trade of the weekRead case →
Feb 2716:39 UTCUS500LongunknownUS500 LONG (pullback buy)C+-1.0R-$2,000Stop hit-
NAS100 · Long
Feb 24 · 15:01 UTC
unknownTP3 hit
Setup
Setup #1 · NAS100 LONG (pullback buy)
Grade
C+
R
+0.60R
$ Sim
+$1,196
Read case →
US30 · Short
Feb 24 · 15:33 UTC
unknownStop hit
Setup
US30 SHORT (mean-revert at resistance)
Grade
C+
R
-1.0R
$ Sim
-$2,000
NAS100 · Long
Feb 24 · 16:41 UTC
unknownTP3 hit
Setup
Buy-the-dip into reclaimed VWAP/EMAs
Grade
C+
R
+0.69R
$ Sim
+$1,384
Read case →
US30 · Long
Feb 26 · 16:11 UTC
unknownStop hit
Setup
US30 LONG (Buy-the-dip)
Grade
C+
R
-1.0R
$ Sim
-$2,000
US500 · Short
Feb 27 · 16:13 UTC
unknownTP3 hit
Setup
US500 Intraday Fade into Resistance
Grade
B
R
+1.19R
$ Sim
+$2,375
Read case →
US30 · Short
Feb 27 · 16:33 UTC
unknownTP3 hit · ★ Trade of the week
Setup
Setup #1 — US30 SHORT (Primary Fade)
Grade
C+
R
+1.73R
$ Sim
+$3,462
Read case →
US500 · Long
Feb 27 · 16:39 UTC
unknownStop hit
Setup
US500 LONG (pullback buy)
Grade
C+
R
-1.0R
$ Sim
-$2,000

Dollar figures are simulated on a $100,000 account at 2% risk per trade. Actual subscriber P&L varies with account size. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Pattern of the week

Inside the corrected ledger, the structural pattern was the fade into resistance against a confirmed intraday counter-trend, applied across both US500 and US30 inside a twenty-minute window. Both Friday fade shorts fit the same template: a level scored as defended by Trend, macro tone risk-tolerant, cross-asset cleared, structural rejection at the level inside the first 5-minute bar after entry. Both ran the full ladder to TP3.

Why the same pattern paid twice on the same session

Cross-Asset had cleared US500 and US30 as decoupled on the 5-minute timeframe before the second entry, so Risk did not apply a correlation discount. The structural premises were independent at the bar level even though the macro tape was shared. Correlation is a measurement, not an assumption.

Decision highlights

The Tuesday NAS100 pair is the cleanest cross-asset judgment of the week. Both setups cleared confluence independently, and the Risk Agent sized the second NAS100 entry at the same threshold as the first because the gate logic does not read consecutive-instrument-win as an exclusion. A discretionary trader emerging from a TP3 winner ninety-eight minutes earlier would have hesitated. The system did not.

The Friday two-fade burst on US500 and US30 is the cleanest example of the system trading correlated index structure without compounding risk. Twenty minutes apart, both fade shorts cleared confluence, both ran the full ladder, both became case studies. Cross-Asset cleared the index pair as decoupled on the 5-minute timeframe before the second entry, so Risk did not apply correlation discount.

The Friday US500 long at 16:39 UTC is the week's hardest decision to read in retrospect. Six minutes after the US30 primary fade had peaked equity at $104,417.08, the system fired a pullback long that stopped inside the same session. The setup read was clean at trigger; the regime softened intraday. The system does not consult the recent trade record to size or decline a new entry.

Perspectiva clave
“Tuesday's NAS100 pair carried the front of the week: a 15:01 UTC pullback long to TP3 for +0.60R credited and a 16:41 UTC buy-the-dip into reclaimed VWAP/EMAs to TP3 for +0.69R credited.”
SkyAnalyst Trend Agent · 16:41 UTC
Section 04 · Head-to-head

Claude vs GPT: who led the week.

SkyAnalyst runs multiple foundation models in parallel across its four-agent system. When two models trade the same instrument in the same week, the results are directly comparable. This is that comparison.

C
Claude
-
No Claude trades this window.
G
GPT
-
No GPT trades this window.

Same signals, same risk framework, different foundation model.

Section 07 · Instrument deep dive

Six instruments, six stories.

EURUSD
-
0 trades

EURUSD did not trade this window.

All EURUSD this week →
XAUUSD
-
0 trades

XAUUSD did not trade this window.

All XAUUSD this week →
US30
-0.3R
3 trades · 33.3% WR

US30 took three trades at 33.3 percent for minus 0.27R net. Friday's <a href="/blog/us30-short-primary-fade-02-27-2026">primary fade short</a> ran to TP3 for +1.73R credited, the largest winner of the week. Tuesday's mean-revert short and Thursday's buy-the-dip long both stopped at minus 1R.

All US30 this week →
NAS100
+1.3R
2 trades · 100% WR

NAS100 took two trades at 100 percent for +1.29R net. Both Tuesday entries ran to TP3 (+0.60R and +0.69R credited) and became <a href="/blog/nas100-long-pullback-buy-02-24-2026">standalone</a> <a href="/blog/nas100-long-buy-the-dip-into-reclaimed-vwap-emas-02-24-2026">case studies</a>.

All NAS100 this week →
USDJPY
-
0 trades

USDJPY did not trade this window.

All USDJPY this week →
US500
+0.2R
2 trades · 50% WR

US500 took two trades at 50 percent for +0.19R net. Friday's <a href="/blog/us500-short-intraday-fade-into-resistance-02-27-2026">intraday fade short</a> ran to TP3 for +1.19R credited; Friday's pullback long six minutes later stopped at minus 1R.

All US500 this week →
Final Outcome
+1.7R
TP3 HIT
Dollar figures calibrated to a $100k account at 2% risk appear below in Simulated Returns.

Win of the week: US30 Short · +1.73R

Loss worth learning from

What the system saw that was right

All three losing entries cleared the published confluence threshold at trigger. Tuesday's US30 mean-revert short, Thursday's US30 buy-the-dip long, Friday's US500 pullback long. Every input was positive at the moment of trigger.

What the system got wrong

Nothing in the entries themselves. All three losses share a regime-shift sensitivity the exit logic does not address: macro repriced inside the trade lifecycle and the stop was the only exit. The system does not re-evaluate in-position trades dynamically. Known cost of the architecture, not a tuning signal.

What the original publication got wrong

The cancelled-trade bug. One paused-mid-trade NAS100 row from Feb 26 was treated as a completed broker fill the dashboard never counted. The data-layer fix drops it. The companion weekly drawdown report regenerated against the same correction.

Simulated Returns

On a $100k account at 2.0% risk per trade.

Each trade risks +$2,000 (1R). The system's actual scale-out behavior may differ, see disclaimer.

Max potential captured
+$2,420
+1.21R · Window net
ScenarioR-multipleProfit on $100k
Window netActual+1.21R+$2,420
Simulated equity · $100,000 baseline · 2% risk per trade
Tue 24Thu 26Fri 27$102,417$100,000
System Performance · Year to date

All six agents combined.

Net R
0R
Trades
0
Win rate
0.0%
Updated 4 hours ago
View live stats →
Perspectiva clave
“Friday's US30 primary fade short ran the full ladder to TP3 for +1.73R credited, the largest single winner of the week and a standalone case study.”
SkyAnalyst Trend Agent · 16:33 UTC

From the desk

Through Mar 2, 2026, the cumulative ledger reads +7.43R YTD across 24 trades from Jan 12 inception. The same $100,000 account at 2 percent risk per trade sits at $114,860 on the static line and $115,393 on the compounded line — the spread is the cost (or benefit) of compounding through a positive-expectancy edge as winners cluster around losses.

The honest reading of this week is that we got the original wrong, and not by much. Seven trades, not nine. +1.21R net, not +0.80R. The underlying broker data was always seven trades and +1.21R; the recap that surfaced them counted a paused NAS100 row the dashboard never had. The cancelled-trade exclusion fix in the data layer drops the row. We republish into the same canonical slot at weekly-recap-2026-02-23; slug, URL, and publish date are unchanged.

The architecture point holds either way. Cross-Asset did not throttle the index pair between the Friday US500 fade and the US30 primary fade because the structural premises were independent at the bar level. Risk did not size down on the Friday US500 long six minutes after the US30 fade printed because the gate logic does not read consecutive-instrument-win as an exclusion. The cost of that discipline this week was one minus 1R late-session stop after the equity high, not a string of correlated losses.

What we're tuning

There is no entry-side tuning signal in the three losses. All three cleared threshold; +1.21R net sits inside the rolling-record interquartile range. Nothing here is a parameter change.

The tuning that did happen was upstream. The cancelled-trade exclusion in the data layer is now patched, and a regression test blocks paused-mid-trade rows from reaching the recap aggregator. The Friday two-fade burst is a feature of the cross-asset architecture, not a tunable parameter.

The Short Version

At a Glance

Week Setup Grade
A-
Decisive Trades
7
Best R
+1.73R
Win Rate
57.1%
What subscribers actually see
Three things that hit your phone or inbox this session.
Full subscriber tour →
01 · Signal Alert
SkyAnalyst · now
Enter signal · US30 long
71% confidence
Push notification the moment an agent issues an Enter. Mobile + desktop.
02 · Live Dashboard
US30 +1.5R
SPX idle
NDX −0.4R
EUR live
XAU idle
OIL +0.8R
All six markets at once. Status, open P&L, and every agent reasoning live.
03 · Morning Briefing
Daily briefing
Macro: lean-bull · DXY soft. Trend agents watching US30 micro-support and EURUSD range break.
Rolling aggregate updates each publish
What the agents are watching, delivered at 08:00 local.
0 traders joined

Week at a glance

Why is this article being republished, and what changed in the numbers?

+

A cancelled-trade exclusion fix in the data layer dropped one paused-mid-trade NAS100 row from Feb 26 the admin trading dashboard never counted. Corrected week: seven trades, 57.1 percent, +1.21R net. Original: nine trades, 55.6 percent, +0.80R. The recap now matches the canonical dashboard tally.

How does the corrected week affect the cumulative ledger and the monthly recap?

+

The Feb 23 to Mar 1 contribution changes from +0.80R to +1.21R, a +0.41R weekly correction. The companion <a href="/blog/monthly-recap-2026-02">February monthly recap</a> regenerated in parallel and now reports 21 trades and +4.41R (down from 24 trades and +6.64R, three paused rows removed across the month). The companion <a href="/blog/weekly-drawdown-report-2026-02-23">weekly drawdown report</a> also regenerated.

What is the difference between the credited figures and the case-study TP3 numbers for the four winners?

+

Recap R-multiples use a TP1-baseline projection on every winner. All four winners ran the full ladder to TP3 in the live broker fills. The recap baseline reads +0.60R, +0.69R, +1.19R, and +1.73R credited respectively. The case studies document the full-ladder result. Same trades, different exit assumptions.

How did the system close the week net positive after a US30 stop on Thursday?

+

Tuesday's NAS100 pair and Friday's US500-and-US30 fade burst combined for +4.21R on the TP1 baseline. Three minus 1R stops combined for minus 3.0R. Net +1.21R, terminal equity $102,417.08 on the simulated $100,000 account at 2 percent risk per trade.

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We project the recap totals using a TP1 exit on every winning trade. This is the simplest baseline for comparing across periods. Traders running their own scale-out, trail, or TP2/TP3 hold strategies will see different totals. Dollar figures are simulated on a $100,000 account at 2% risk per trade. Actual subscriber P&L varies with account size and execution. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Perspectiva clave
“Four TP3 winners and three minus 1R losses inside seven trades. The asymmetry is what carries the week net positive.”
From the desk · May 3, 2026
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