Every trade. Every decision. Documented.
SkyAnalyst's full editorial record of its AI trading system, case studies, weekly and monthly recaps, and honest drawdown reports. No cherry-picking. Results across long windows.
The full SkyAnalyst Journal in one stream — case studies, recaps, drawdown reports, and insights, sorted by trade date.
- May 18·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
May 11-17, 2026: Seven-Three Week, +5.96R Net Across a Model Upgrade
Ten canonical trades, seven winners, three losers, +5.96R net at the TP1 baseline. Tuesday and Wednesday ran on Claude Opus 4.6, Friday switched to Opus 4.7, and GBPUSD came online as a new instrument and won both its trades.
May 18Weekly RecapWEEKLY-May 11-17, 2026: Seven-Three Week, +5.96R Net Across a Model Upgrade
Ten canonical trades, seven winners, three losers, +5.96R net at the TP1 baseline. Tuesday and Wednesday ran on Claude Opus 4.6, Friday switched to Opus 4.7, and GBPUSD came online as a new instrument and won both its trades.
- - May 18·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Three stops, one regime: the week the tape refused to confirm
Three losses, 2.25R given back against a year that still reads +20.43R. The honest portfolio view: what every stop taught us, and what the drawdown curve says about a week that drew down 2.4 percent and recovered.
May 18DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Three stops, one regime: the week the tape refused to confirm
Three losses, 2.25R given back against a year that still reads +20.43R. The honest portfolio view: what every stop taught us, and what the drawdown curve says about a week that drew down 2.4 percent and recovered.
- - May 15·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on May 15: Six Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Euro short where the system scored six consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 62 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +2.00R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
May 15Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on May 15: Six Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Euro short where the system scored six consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 62 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +2.00R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
- - May 15·Case Study·GBPUSD·SHORT-
GBPUSD Short on May 15: Five Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Cable short where the system scored five consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 72 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +1.89R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
May 15Case StudyGBPUSD·SHORT-GBPUSD Short on May 15: Five Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Cable short where the system scored five consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 72 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +1.89R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
- - May 15·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long on May 15: One Wait, One Enter, a Two-Minute Decision
A yield-driven USDJPY pullback long where the system passed once at 40 percent, then entered at 68 percent ninety seconds later, and closed TP1 for +0.78R (TP1) despite a Macro Agent flagging avoid.
May 15Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long on May 15: One Wait, One Enter, a Two-Minute Decision
A yield-driven USDJPY pullback long where the system passed once at 40 percent, then entered at 68 percent ninety seconds later, and closed TP1 for +0.78R (TP1) despite a Macro Agent flagging avoid.
- - May 13·Case Study·GBPUSD·SHORT-
GBPUSD Short on May 13: The First Cable Case Study, Thirteen Reads Deep
GBPUSD came online as a new automation, and its first published trade was a slow one: twelve waits, one enter at 62 percent, and a 22-hour hold to TP1 for +1.14R (TP1).
May 13Case StudyGBPUSD·SHORT-GBPUSD Short on May 13: The First Cable Case Study, Thirteen Reads Deep
GBPUSD came online as a new automation, and its first published trade was a slow one: twelve waits, one enter at 62 percent, and a 22-hour hold to TP1 for +1.14R (TP1).
- - May 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on a PPI Risk-Off Tape: A Disciplined +0.83R Sell-the-Rip
A hot PPI print flipped the Dow into a risk-off session. SkyAnalyst waited one cycle for the rejection candle, then took the short. Here is the full arc, recorded as a TP1 exit at +0.83R.
May 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on a PPI Risk-Off Tape: A Disciplined +0.83R Sell-the-Rip
A hot PPI print flipped the Dow into a risk-off session. SkyAnalyst waited one cycle for the rejection candle, then took the short. Here is the full arc, recorded as a TP1 exit at +0.83R.
- - May 12·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short: A Second Setup, a Disciplined Wait, and a Give-Back Exit
After a clean TP3 winner earlier the same morning, the system waited four evaluations before re-entering NAS100 short. TP2 printed in under an hour, then price trailed back to a broker stop.
May 12Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short: A Second Setup, a Disciplined Wait, and a Give-Back Exit
After a clean TP3 winner earlier the same morning, the system waited four evaluations before re-entering NAS100 short. TP2 printed in under an hour, then price trailed back to a broker stop.
- - May 12·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short, VWAP Rejection, and the +3.21R We Almost Skipped
Hot CPI, yields at a new 5-day high, and four straight waits before the system finally entered short at 29,134.5. Fifty-seven minutes later, the trade printed TP3.
May 12Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short, VWAP Rejection, and the +3.21R We Almost Skipped
Hot CPI, yields at a new 5-day high, and four straight waits before the system finally entered short at 29,134.5. Fifty-seven minutes later, the trade printed TP3.
- - May 11·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
May 4-10, 2026: Four-Four Split, -0.04R Net After Mid-Week Drawdown
Eight canonical trades, four winners, four losers, -0.04R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday banked +1.93R on two winners, Wednesday peaked at +2.96R before an afternoon stop, and Thursday and Friday closed two more.
May 11Weekly RecapWEEKLY-May 4-10, 2026: Four-Four Split, -0.04R Net After Mid-Week Drawdown
Eight canonical trades, four winners, four losers, -0.04R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday banked +1.93R on two winners, Wednesday peaked at +2.96R before an afternoon stop, and Thursday and Friday closed two more.
- - May 06·Case Study·EURUSD·LONG-
EURUSD Long on Trend Pullback: Eighteen Minutes of Waiting, One Trigger
Eleven evaluations between 14:07 and 14:25 UTC. Ten declined. One entered at the 38.2 percent Fibonacci shelf with the macro tape already supportive. The pullback closed +1R on TP1.
May 06Case StudyEURUSD·LONG-EURUSD Long on Trend Pullback: Eighteen Minutes of Waiting, One Trigger
Eleven evaluations between 14:07 and 14:25 UTC. Ten declined. One entered at the 38.2 percent Fibonacci shelf with the macro tape already supportive. The pullback closed +1R on TP1.
- - May 06·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on May 6: Yields at 5-Day Lows and a Clean VWAP Continuation
Five evaluations across six minutes, one enter at 14:15 UTC, and a clean continuation off the VWAP and Fibonacci 38.2% confluence into the session high for +1.03R on TP1.
May 06Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on May 6: Yields at 5-Day Lows and a Clean VWAP Continuation
Five evaluations across six minutes, one enter at 14:15 UTC, and a clean continuation off the VWAP and Fibonacci 38.2% confluence into the session high for +1.03R on TP1.
- - May 06·Case Study·MULTI·SHORT-
From GPT-5 launch to Claude consolidation: SkyAnalyst's 2026 year-to-date
Ninety-two trades from Jan 12 inception through May 13. Plus 15.62R net. Three execution eras: GPT-5 ran the launch, GPT-5.4 shared a nine-day cross-model window, and Claude Opus 4.6 has carried the master flow since Mar 26.
May 06Case StudyMULTI·SHORT-From GPT-5 launch to Claude consolidation: SkyAnalyst's 2026 year-to-date
Ninety-two trades from Jan 12 inception through May 13. Plus 15.62R net. Three execution eras: GPT-5 ran the launch, GPT-5.4 shared a nine-day cross-model window, and Claude Opus 4.6 has carried the master flow since Mar 26.
- - May 04·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on VWAP Rejection: One Evaluation, One Entry, +2.22R
Macro confidence sat at 48 percent — below the conviction threshold. The system applied range-bound protocol, reduced size, and took the VWAP rejection anyway. Entry to TP2 in 86 minutes.
May 04Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on VWAP Rejection: One Evaluation, One Entry, +2.22R
Macro confidence sat at 48 percent — below the conviction threshold. The system applied range-bound protocol, reduced size, and took the VWAP rejection anyway. Entry to TP2 in 86 minutes.
- - May 04·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on May 4: A C+ VWAP Pullback That Opens the Month
Eleven evaluations, two enters, one position. The first NAS100 trigger of May fired against a yield headwind, took TP1 in fourteen minutes, and credited +0.40R with no recorded drawdown.
May 04Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on May 4: A C+ VWAP Pullback That Opens the Month
Eleven evaluations, two enters, one position. The first NAS100 trigger of May fired against a yield headwind, took TP1 in fourteen minutes, and credited +0.40R with no recorded drawdown.
- - May 04·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 27 to May 3, 2026: Three Partial Winners Banked +2.24R After a Monday Stop
Four trades, three winners, one loss, +2.24R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday opened with a US30 stop, then three sequential winners across US500 and NAS100 closed the week +75 percent at the win rate.
May 04Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 27 to May 3, 2026: Three Partial Winners Banked +2.24R After a Monday Stop
Four trades, three winners, one loss, +2.24R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday opened with a US30 stop, then three sequential winners across US500 and NAS100 closed the week +75 percent at the win rate.
- - May 01·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on May 1: A Fibonacci and EMA9 Pullback That Banked TP1 at +1.38R
A C+ long on the Nasdaq 100 triggered on a single evaluation into the Fibonacci 38.2 percent and 5m EMA9 confluence. The position ran to TP1 at 27,750 for +1.38R on the TP1 baseline, the closing winner of the week.
May 01Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on May 1: A Fibonacci and EMA9 Pullback That Banked TP1 at +1.38R
A C+ long on the Nasdaq 100 triggered on a single evaluation into the Fibonacci 38.2 percent and 5m EMA9 confluence. The position ran to TP1 at 27,750 for +1.38R on the TP1 baseline, the closing winner of the week.
- - May 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
April 2026 Monthly Recap: 18 Trades, Indexes Carry the Month, +2.24R Net
Eighteen trades. Ten winners, eight losers, 55.6 percent win rate. Net plus 2.24R on a TP1 baseline. The equity-index complex did the work; the lone B-grade entry of the month was the cleanest decision on the record.
May 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-April 2026 Monthly Recap: 18 Trades, Indexes Carry the Month, +2.24R Net
Eighteen trades. Ten winners, eight losers, 55.6 percent win rate. Net plus 2.24R on a TP1 baseline. The equity-index complex did the work; the lone B-grade entry of the month was the cleanest decision on the record.
- - Apr 30·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on April 30: A VWAP Pullback That Ran TP2 for +1.86R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on a first-cycle read into the prior day high and VWAP confluence. The runner extended past TP1 at 7183 to TP2 at 7196 for +1.86R, the largest winner of the week.
Apr 30Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on April 30: A VWAP Pullback That Ran TP2 for +1.86R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on a first-cycle read into the prior day high and VWAP confluence. The runner extended past TP1 at 7183 to TP2 at 7196 for +1.86R, the largest winner of the week.
- - Apr 28·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on April 28: A Bear Flag Breakdown That Banked TP1 at +0.78R
A C+ short on the S&P 500 triggered after two evaluations into a bear flag breakdown of the NY opening range. The position ran to TP1 at 7123 for +0.78R on the TP1 baseline before the runner stopped on the reclaim.
Apr 28Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on April 28: A Bear Flag Breakdown That Banked TP1 at +0.78R
A C+ short on the S&P 500 triggered after two evaluations into a bear flag breakdown of the NY opening range. The position ran to TP1 at 7123 for +0.78R on the TP1 baseline before the runner stopped on the reclaim.
- - Apr 27·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 20-26, 2026: One EURUSD TP3 Winner, Two Stops, Window Closes -0.33R
Three filled trades, one winner, two losses, -0.33R net at the TP1 baseline. The Apr 23 EURUSD short ran clean to TP3. The other two stopped at -1R inside the first hour after fill.
Apr 27Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 20-26, 2026: One EURUSD TP3 Winner, Two Stops, Window Closes -0.33R
Three filled trades, one winner, two losses, -0.33R net at the TP1 baseline. The Apr 23 EURUSD short ran clean to TP3. The other two stopped at -1R inside the first hour after fill.
- - Apr 27·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Apr 20-26, 2026: Two stops, two index trades, 2R given back
A 33% win rate week where both decisive losses sat on the same playbook shape. The system gave back 2R against +10.67R YTD, and the loss attribution lands entirely on index instruments under Claude Opus 4.6.
Apr 27DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Apr 20-26, 2026: Two stops, two index trades, 2R given back
A 33% win rate week where both decisive losses sat on the same playbook shape. The system gave back 2R against +10.67R YTD, and the loss attribution lands entirely on index instruments under Claude Opus 4.6.
- - Apr 23·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on April 23, Macro Gate Held, Trend Waited Ten Evals
The Trend Agent declined the same setup nine times before the tenth evaluation crossed the threshold. A walkthrough of how the macro gate and the resistance rejection lined up, and why the wait mattered.
Apr 23Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on April 23, Macro Gate Held, Trend Waited Ten Evals
The Trend Agent declined the same setup nine times before the tenth evaluation crossed the threshold. A walkthrough of how the macro gate and the resistance rejection lined up, and why the wait mattered.
- - Apr 20·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 13-19, 2026: Friday's US30 Long Broke a Three-Loss Slide to Close Green
Seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.39R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday's three-winner morning ran the equity to +2.86R, three midweek stops pulled cumulative below zero, then a Friday US30 long at 15:25 UTC rescued the week.
Apr 20Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 13-19, 2026: Friday's US30 Long Broke a Three-Loss Slide to Close Green
Seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.39R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday's three-winner morning ran the equity to +2.86R, three midweek stops pulled cumulative below zero, then a Friday US30 long at 15:25 UTC rescued the week.
- - Apr 20·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Apr 13-19, 2026: Three Stops, -3R Given Back Inside a Green Week
Three losses, all at -1R, no exits above the stop. Net -3.00R for the loss-side ledger across Tue, Thu, and Fri. The same five sessions closed +1.39R on the recap. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
Apr 20DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Apr 13-19, 2026: Three Stops, -3R Given Back Inside a Green Week
Three losses, all at -1R, no exits above the stop. Net -3.00R for the loss-side ledger across Tue, Thu, and Fri. The same five sessions closed +1.39R on the recap. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
- - Apr 17·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on April 17: The Trigger That Carried After Two Stops
A C+ Bullish Pullback to Micro-Support, three waits across six minutes, one enter at 15:25 UTC, and a 3-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +1.53R. The third trigger after two stops on the same risk-on tape.
Apr 17Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on April 17: The Trigger That Carried After Two Stops
A C+ Bullish Pullback to Micro-Support, three waits across six minutes, one enter at 15:25 UTC, and a 3-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +1.53R. The third trigger after two stops on the same risk-on tape.
- - Apr 13·Case Study·EURUSD·LONG-
EURUSD Long on April 13: Same Tape, Bigger R-Multiple
Three waits, one enter at 15:15 UTC, and a clean ride from 1.17047 to 1.17388 over three hours and eleven minutes. The same soft-dollar tape, a higher-quality entry, +3.15R to TP3.
Apr 13Case StudyEURUSD·LONG-EURUSD Long on April 13: Same Tape, Bigger R-Multiple
Three waits, one enter at 15:15 UTC, and a clean ride from 1.17047 to 1.17388 over three hours and eleven minutes. The same soft-dollar tape, a higher-quality entry, +3.15R to TP3.
- - Apr 13·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 13: The First TP3 of the Week
A C+ Bullish Pullback Long on the Nasdaq 100, four waits across six minutes, one enter at 14:21 UTC, and a four-hour ride to TP3 for +2.22R. The first TP3 of the week.
Apr 13Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 13: The First TP3 of the Week
A C+ Bullish Pullback Long on the Nasdaq 100, four waits across six minutes, one enter at 14:21 UTC, and a four-hour ride to TP3 for +2.22R. The first TP3 of the week.
- - Apr 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on April 13: The Trio's Dissenting Voice
Eight declines across twelve minutes, one enter at 14:49 UTC, and a 91-minute fade off the 47,712 to 47,764 resistance cluster. The third trade of the April 13 trio, sized smaller against the tape, +1R to TP1.
Apr 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on April 13: The Trio's Dissenting Voice
Eight declines across twelve minutes, one enter at 14:49 UTC, and a 91-minute fade off the 47,712 to 47,764 resistance cluster. The third trade of the April 13 trio, sized smaller against the tape, +1R to TP1.
- - Apr 13·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 6-12, 2026: A Quiet Two-Trade Week That Closed at -0.41R Net
Two trades, one winner, one loss, -0.41R net on a TP1 baseline. The Friday NAS100 long covered most of the Wednesday EURUSD stop. The other four sessions sat outside our setup criteria.
Apr 13Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 6-12, 2026: A Quiet Two-Trade Week That Closed at -0.41R Net
Two trades, one winner, one loss, -0.41R net on a TP1 baseline. The Friday NAS100 long covered most of the Wednesday EURUSD stop. The other four sessions sat outside our setup criteria.
- - Apr 10·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 10: A C+ Pullback in a Brutal April
A C+ NAS100 Long Pullback Buy on April 10, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 14:48 UTC, and a clean +0.59R close at TP1 inside an April month-to-date sitting at -4.80R across eight trades.
Apr 10Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 10: A C+ Pullback in a Brutal April
A C+ NAS100 Long Pullback Buy on April 10, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 14:48 UTC, and a clean +0.59R close at TP1 inside an April month-to-date sitting at -4.80R across eight trades.
- - Apr 06·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Month-Bridge Week: Six Trades, +1.68R Net, and Two TP3 Winners Close March
Six trades, four winners, two losses, +1.68R net on a TP1 baseline at a 66.7 percent win rate. The week straddled the Mar/Apr boundary and closed March with two TP3 winners inside 46 minutes on Tuesday afternoon.
Apr 06Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Month-Bridge Week: Six Trades, +1.68R Net, and Two TP3 Winners Close March
Six trades, four winners, two losses, +1.68R net on a TP1 baseline at a 66.7 percent win rate. The week straddled the Mar/Apr boundary and closed March with two TP3 winners inside 46 minutes on Tuesday afternoon.
- - Apr 02·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 2: A Pullback Buy That Took Three Days to Resolve
A C+ Pullback Long at the 78.6% Fib zone on the Nasdaq 100, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 15:55 UTC, and an 88-hour ride to TP2 for +2.2R on a divergent macro tape.
Apr 02Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 2: A Pullback Buy That Took Three Days to Resolve
A C+ Pullback Long at the 78.6% Fib zone on the Nasdaq 100, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 15:55 UTC, and an 88-hour ride to TP2 for +2.2R on a divergent macro tape.
- - Apr 01·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 1: A Lean-Bear Macro That Did Not Veto
A C+ Pullback to 5m Dynamic Support on the Nasdaq 100, two declines across two minutes, one enter at 14:37 UTC, and a ten-hour ride to TP2 for +1.32R with no recorded drawdown.
Apr 01Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 1: A Lean-Bear Macro That Did Not Veto
A C+ Pullback to 5m Dynamic Support on the Nasdaq 100, two declines across two minutes, one enter at 14:37 UTC, and a ten-hour ride to TP2 for +1.32R with no recorded drawdown.
- - Apr 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
March 2026 Monthly Recap: 35 Trades, Three Model Phases, Break-Even Net
Thirty-five trades. Eighteen winners, seventeen losers, 51.4 percent. Net minus 0.36R, essentially flat on a TP1 baseline. Inside one calendar month the engine ran three different models in sequence: GPT-5, GPT-5.4, then Claude Opus 4.6.
Apr 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-March 2026 Monthly Recap: 35 Trades, Three Model Phases, Break-Even Net
Thirty-five trades. Eighteen winners, seventeen losers, 51.4 percent. Net minus 0.36R, essentially flat on a TP1 baseline. Inside one calendar month the engine ran three different models in sequence: GPT-5, GPT-5.4, then Claude Opus 4.6.
- - Mar 31·Case Study·EURUSD·LONG-
EURUSD Long on March 31 - Second of Two Same-Day TP3 Winners
A Bullish Pullback long on EURUSD entered at 1.1520 ran to TP3 at 1.1558 over four hours and seventeen minutes, closing at +1.58R. The second of two TP3 winners on the closing day of a near-flat March.
Mar 31Case StudyEURUSD·LONG-EURUSD Long on March 31 - Second of Two Same-Day TP3 Winners
A Bullish Pullback long on EURUSD entered at 1.1520 ran to TP3 at 1.1558 over four hours and seventeen minutes, closing at +1.58R. The second of two TP3 winners on the closing day of a near-flat March.
- - Mar 31·Case Study·USDJPY·SHORT-
USDJPY Short on March 31 - Closing the Month on a TP3 Winner
A pullback short on USDJPY entered at 159.23 ran to TP3 at 158.75 in 2h 32m, closing at +3.20R. The closing-day winner of a March that finished -0.13R / 22W-20L on the TP1-baseline tally.
Mar 31Case StudyUSDJPY·SHORT-USDJPY Short on March 31 - Closing the Month on a TP3 Winner
A pullback short on USDJPY entered at 159.23 ran to TP3 at 158.75 in 2h 32m, closing at +3.20R. The closing-day winner of a March that finished -0.13R / 22W-20L on the TP1-baseline tally.
- - Mar 30·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
The Mirror Week: Six Straight TP3 Winners and a 72.7 Percent Run
Eleven trades, eight winners, three losses, +3.72R net on the TP1 baseline. Tuesday burned through -3R inside fourteen minutes; Wednesday through Friday answered with six straight TP3 closes on the same threshold.
Mar 30Weekly RecapWEEKLY-The Mirror Week: Six Straight TP3 Winners and a 72.7 Percent Run
Eleven trades, eight winners, three losses, +3.72R net on the TP1 baseline. Tuesday burned through -3R inside fourteen minutes; Wednesday through Friday answered with six straight TP3 closes on the same threshold.
- - Mar 30·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Mar 23-29, 2026: Three Losses Inside Fourteen Minutes on a Bumper Week
Three losses, -3R given back, every stop print compressed inside fourteen minutes on Tuesday afternoon. The same five sessions closed positive on the recap. The drawdown report exists even on bumper weeks.
Mar 30DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Mar 23-29, 2026: Three Losses Inside Fourteen Minutes on a Bumper Week
Three losses, -3R given back, every stop print compressed inside fourteen minutes on Tuesday afternoon. The same five sessions closed positive on the recap. The drawdown report exists even on bumper weeks.
- - Mar 27·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on March 27: The Seventh TP3 That Closed the Bumper Week
Three waits, one enter. The Trend Agent shorted the opening-range breakdown at 6426.4, held the stop at 6447, and let the position run six hours to TP3 at 6350 for +3.71R, the largest R of the streak.
Mar 27Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on March 27: The Seventh TP3 That Closed the Bumper Week
Three waits, one enter. The Trend Agent shorted the opening-range breakdown at 6426.4, held the stop at 6447, and let the position run six hours to TP3 at 6350 for +3.71R, the largest R of the streak.
- - Mar 26·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on March 26 - The Fifth Leg of a Seven-Trade Run
A Sell-the-Rally short on EURUSD entered at 1.15531 ran to TP3 at 1.15100 over twenty hours and twenty-one minutes, closing at +3.34R. The fifth winner of a seven-trade streak that bracketed late March.
Mar 26Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on March 26 - The Fifth Leg of a Seven-Trade Run
A Sell-the-Rally short on EURUSD entered at 1.15531 ran to TP3 at 1.15100 over twenty hours and twenty-one minutes, closing at +3.34R. The fifth winner of a seven-trade streak that bracketed late March.
- - Mar 26·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on March 26: Fade of a Counter-Trend Squeeze, +2.28R at TP3
Six waits, one enter on a C+ sell-the-rip into a rising-VIX bounce. The Trend Agent shorted 6571.9, held 6592, and let it run two hours and six minutes to TP3 at 6526.
Mar 26Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on March 26: Fade of a Counter-Trend Squeeze, +2.28R at TP3
Six waits, one enter on a C+ sell-the-rip into a rising-VIX bounce. The Trend Agent shorted 6571.9, held 6592, and let it run two hours and six minutes to TP3 at 6526.
- - Mar 25·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short on March 25: Four Evaluations, One Enter, +2.11R to TP3
The second leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Three waits, one enter at 24207.1. The Trend Agent held the 24310 stop and let the position run eighteen hours and eighteen minutes to TP3 at 23990.
Mar 25Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short on March 25: Four Evaluations, One Enter, +2.11R to TP3
The second leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Three waits, one enter at 24207.1. The Trend Agent held the 24310 stop and let the position run eighteen hours and eighteen minutes to TP3 at 23990.
- - Mar 25·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on March 25: The First TP3 of a Seven-Trade Streak
Eight evaluations across ten minutes. Seven wait, one enter at 6605. Eighteen hours later the S&P tagged 6555 for +3.23R, opening the best week of the published record.
Mar 25Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on March 25: The First TP3 of a Seven-Trade Streak
Eight evaluations across ten minutes. Seven wait, one enter at 6605. Eighteen hours later the S&P tagged 6555 for +3.23R, opening the best week of the published record.
- - Mar 25·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long on March 25: One Evaluation, One Enter, +2.53R to TP3
Third leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Single-evaluation entry at 159.076 on the closed-bar reclaim. Stop at 158.96 held; position ran 4h 13m to TP3 at 159.37 for +2.53R.
Mar 25Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long on March 25: One Evaluation, One Enter, +2.53R to TP3
Third leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Single-evaluation entry at 159.076 on the closed-bar reclaim. Stop at 158.96 held; position ran 4h 13m to TP3 at 159.37 for +2.53R.
- - Mar 23·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on March 23: A Tactical TP1 Against the Yield Headwind
A C+ NAS100 Tactical Pullback Continuation, one ENTER at 14:34 UTC, the Trend Agent bullish at 62% with macro lean-bear at 39%, and a 1h 18m hold to TP1 for +0.25R against an active 10-year yield headwind.
Mar 23Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on March 23: A Tactical TP1 Against the Yield Headwind
A C+ NAS100 Tactical Pullback Continuation, one ENTER at 14:34 UTC, the Trend Agent bullish at 62% with macro lean-bear at 39%, and a 1h 18m hold to TP1 for +0.25R against an active 10-year yield headwind.
- - Mar 23·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on March 23: One Evaluation, One Enter, TP1 Booked
A B-grade US500 Pullback Long with a single evaluation at 14:36 UTC, an immediate enter at 73% confidence, and a 1-hour 18-minute ride to TP1 for +0.54R against a heavy macro headwind.
Mar 23Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on March 23: One Evaluation, One Enter, TP1 Booked
A B-grade US500 Pullback Long with a single evaluation at 14:36 UTC, an immediate enter at 73% confidence, and a 1-hour 18-minute ride to TP1 for +0.54R against a heavy macro headwind.
- - Mar 23·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Twelve Trades, Five Winners: A Chop-Regime Week That Paid Both Sides
Twelve filled trades, five winners, seven losses, -2.42R net on a TP1 baseline. A Monday +1.5R opener, a Wednesday EURUSD short paid twice, and a Friday USDJPY long thirty seconds after a US30 stop.
Mar 23Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Twelve Trades, Five Winners: A Chop-Regime Week That Paid Both Sides
Twelve filled trades, five winners, seven losses, -2.42R net on a TP1 baseline. A Monday +1.5R opener, a Wednesday EURUSD short paid twice, and a Friday USDJPY long thirty seconds after a US30 stop.
- - Mar 23·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Mar 16-22, 2026: Seven Losses, Seven R Given Back to the Tape
Seven losses, -7.0R given back across four instruments, longest losing streak of 4. The deepest trough in the published record. The recap counts the full 12-trade canonical ledger; the drawdown report counts the loss side.
Mar 23DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Mar 16-22, 2026: Seven Losses, Seven R Given Back to the Tape
Seven losses, -7.0R given back across four instruments, longest losing streak of 4. The deepest trough in the published record. The recap counts the full 12-trade canonical ledger; the drawdown report counts the loss side.
- - Mar 20·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long on March 20: Five Evaluations, One Enter, +2.90R to TP3
The Friday closer of the March 16 to 22 mixed week. Four waits, one enter at 159.058. The Trend Agent held the 158.94 stop and let the position run fifty-four hours and forty-six minutes to TP3 at 159.40.
Mar 20Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long on March 20: Five Evaluations, One Enter, +2.90R to TP3
The Friday closer of the March 16 to 22 mixed week. Four waits, one enter at 159.058. The Trend Agent held the 158.94 stop and let the position run fifty-four hours and forty-six minutes to TP3 at 159.40.
- - Mar 19·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on March 19: A Failed Bounce Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A SHORT at 6596.9 into VWAP and prior-day-low resistance, four waits and one enter at 74 percent confidence, a 3h 55m hold to TP1 for +1.18R inside the worst week of the published record.
Mar 19Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on March 19: A Failed Bounce Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A SHORT at 6596.9 into VWAP and prior-day-low resistance, four waits and one enter at 74 percent confidence, a 3h 55m hold to TP1 for +1.18R inside the worst week of the published record.
- - Mar 18·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on March 18: Six Evaluations, One Enter, +1.07R to TP3
Five waits, one enter. The Trend Agent sold the NY-AM bounce at 1.15129, held the stop at 1.15385, and let the position run four hours and eleven minutes to TP3 at 1.14856.
Mar 18Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on March 18: Six Evaluations, One Enter, +1.07R to TP3
Five waits, one enter. The Trend Agent sold the NY-AM bounce at 1.15129, held the stop at 1.15385, and let the position run four hours and eleven minutes to TP3 at 1.14856.
- - Mar 18·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on March 18: Eleven Evaluations, Ten Waits, +1.81R to TP3
The second EURUSD short of the same NY-AM tape. Ten waits across fifteen minutes, one enter at 1.15232. The Trend Agent held the 1.1541 stop and let the position run two hours and fifty-five minutes to TP3 at 1.1491.
Mar 18Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on March 18: Eleven Evaluations, Ten Waits, +1.81R to TP3
The second EURUSD short of the same NY-AM tape. Ten waits across fifteen minutes, one enter at 1.15232. The Trend Agent held the 1.1541 stop and let the position run two hours and fifty-five minutes to TP3 at 1.1491.
- - Mar 16·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on March 16: A B-Grade Buy-the-Dip Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A LONG pullback at 6706 with two waits, one enter at 72 percent confidence into a lean-bear FOMC backdrop, a 59-minute ride to TP1 for +1.5R inside the worst weekly stretch of the published record.
Mar 16Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on March 16: A B-Grade Buy-the-Dip Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A LONG pullback at 6706 with two waits, one enter at 72 percent confidence into a lean-bear FOMC backdrop, a 59-minute ride to TP1 for +1.5R inside the worst weekly stretch of the published record.
- - Mar 16·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Four Losses, No Winners: How a 35% System Reads Its Worst Published Week
Four trades, zero winners, -4.00R net. Three SL hits across two sessions, a fourth on Friday, and a system that did not change posture once. The worst week on the published record.
Mar 16Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Four Losses, No Winners: How a 35% System Reads Its Worst Published Week
Four trades, zero winners, -4.00R net. Three SL hits across two sessions, a fourth on Friday, and a system that did not change posture once. The worst week on the published record.
- - Mar 16·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Mar 9-15, 2026: Four-of-Four, the Variance Envelope at Week Resolution
Four trades, four losses, -4.00R given back, the longest losing streak in the published record. No winners offset the draw. Same playbook, same threshold, same sizing absorbed the streak without intervention.
Mar 16DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Mar 9-15, 2026: Four-of-Four, the Variance Envelope at Week Resolution
Four trades, four losses, -4.00R given back, the longest losing streak in the published record. No winners offset the draw. Same playbook, same threshold, same sizing absorbed the streak without intervention.
- - Mar 09·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Republished With Real Numbers: How March Opened +1.38R After the Phantom Fix
Five trades, three winners, two losses, +1.38R net on a TP1 baseline. The original Mar 2 to Mar 8 recap printed seven trades and a losing week. A methodology fix dropped two phantom rows. This is the corrected ledger.
Mar 09Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Republished With Real Numbers: How March Opened +1.38R After the Phantom Fix
Five trades, three winners, two losses, +1.38R net on a TP1 baseline. The original Mar 2 to Mar 8 recap printed seven trades and a losing week. A methodology fix dropped two phantom rows. This is the corrected ledger.
- - Mar 09·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Two Losses, Net Positive: A Drawdown Week That Closed Green
Two losses, -2.00R given back, longest streak of one. The same five sessions produced three winners and a 60 percent win rate. Net for Mar 2-8 closed at +1.38R. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
Mar 09DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Two Losses, Net Positive: A Drawdown Week That Closed Green
Two losses, -2.00R given back, longest streak of one. The same five sessions produced three winners and a 60 percent win rate. Net for Mar 2-8 closed at +1.38R. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
- - Mar 04·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on March 4: TP1 Banked, Runner Stopped, +0.93R
A breakout continuation on the Nasdaq 100 cleared TP1 inside the New York session, then the runner reversed and tagged the original stop. Reported result reflects the TP1-baseline R.
Mar 04Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on March 4: TP1 Banked, Runner Stopped, +0.93R
A breakout continuation on the Nasdaq 100 cleared TP1 inside the New York session, then the runner reversed and tagged the original stop. Reported result reflects the TP1-baseline R.
- - Mar 04·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on March 4: A C+ NY Pullback That Ran to TP3 +3.31R
Three waits, one enter. The Trend Agent bought the NY pullback at 6858.2, held the stop at 6848, and let the position run nearly eight hours to TP3 at 6892 for +3.31R.
Mar 04Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on March 4: A C+ NY Pullback That Ran to TP3 +3.31R
Three waits, one enter. The Trend Agent bought the NY pullback at 6858.2, held the stop at 6848, and let the position run nearly eight hours to TP3 at 6892 for +3.31R.
- - Mar 02·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on March 2: Eleven Waits, One Enter, +1.2R at TP1
March opens with a sell-the-rally on the Dow. Twelve evaluations across fourteen minutes, eleven of them wait. The twelfth fired short at 48842 and banked TP1 at 48700.
Mar 02Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on March 2: Eleven Waits, One Enter, +1.2R at TP1
March opens with a sell-the-rally on the Dow. Twelve evaluations across fourteen minutes, eleven of them wait. The twelfth fired short at 48842 and banked TP1 at 48700.
- - Mar 02·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Nine Trades, Five Winners, Four Stops: Feb 23 to Mar 1 Closes +0.8R
Nine entries across the index complex, five winners, four stops, +0.8R net on a TP1 baseline. NAS100 carried the front of the week, US30 produced the largest single winner on Friday, and a late US500 long gave back equity at the close.
Mar 02Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Nine Trades, Five Winners, Four Stops: Feb 23 to Mar 1 Closes +0.8R
Nine entries across the index complex, five winners, four stops, +0.8R net on a TP1 baseline. NAS100 carried the front of the week, US30 produced the largest single winner on Friday, and a late US500 long gave back equity at the close.
- - Mar 02·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Feb 23 to Mar 1 Drawdown Report: 4 Losses Given Back for Minus 4R
Four losses, all at minus 1R. Net minus 4R for the loss-side ledger across 9 canonical trades. Longest streak two, back to back on Thursday. The loss-side ledger for Feb 23 to Mar 1, paired with the statistical context that explains it.
Mar 02DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Feb 23 to Mar 1 Drawdown Report: 4 Losses Given Back for Minus 4R
Four losses, all at minus 1R. Net minus 4R for the loss-side ledger across 9 canonical trades. Longest streak two, back to back on Thursday. The loss-side ledger for Feb 23 to Mar 1, paired with the statistical context that explains it.
- - Mar 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
February 2026 Monthly Recap: 24 Trades, 62.5 Percent, +6.64R Net
Twenty-four trades, fifteen winners, nine losers, +6.64R net on a TP1 baseline. The first full calendar month of the published record, carried by US30 and finished with a closing-week TP3 cluster.
Mar 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-February 2026 Monthly Recap: 24 Trades, 62.5 Percent, +6.64R Net
Twenty-four trades, fifteen winners, nine losers, +6.64R net on a TP1 baseline. The first full calendar month of the published record, carried by US30 and finished with a closing-week TP3 cluster.
- - Feb 27·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on February 27 - The Biggest R-Multiple of February
On the final trading day of February, a single C+ Primary Fade on the Dow ran from 49013 down to TP3 at 48680 over fifty-four hours and twenty-seven minutes, closing at +4.33R. The largest R of the month.
Feb 27Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on February 27 - The Biggest R-Multiple of February
On the final trading day of February, a single C+ Primary Fade on the Dow ran from 49013 down to TP3 at 48680 over fifty-four hours and twenty-seven minutes, closing at +4.33R. The largest R of the month.
- - Feb 27·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on February 27: Six Waits, One Enter, +2.67R (TP3)
Six evaluations across ten minutes, then a seventh that crossed threshold. The Trend Agent shorted US500 at 6870.2 and rode the fade through TP1, TP2, and TP3 over fifty-four hours.
Feb 27Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on February 27: Six Waits, One Enter, +2.67R (TP3)
Six evaluations across ten minutes, then a seventh that crossed threshold. The Trend Agent shorted US500 at 6870.2 and rode the fade through TP1, TP2, and TP3 over fifty-four hours.
- - Feb 25·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on Feb 25: The Breakout-Retest That Took TP2 in a Losing Month
Four evaluations in four minutes, a long entry at 25,285.2 on a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 94.8-point move through TP1 to TP2 for +1.26R inside a thin February.
Feb 25Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on Feb 25: The Breakout-Retest That Took TP2 in a Losing Month
Four evaluations in four minutes, a long entry at 25,285.2 on a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 94.8-point move through TP1 to TP2 for +1.26R inside a thin February.
- - Feb 24·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on February 24, The Fourth Winner Closed February's Drawdown
Four consecutive winners across three sessions and two instruments. Net MTD moved from −8.77R to −2.28R. The system did not change posture during the drawdown and did not change posture during the recovery.
Feb 24Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on February 24, The Fourth Winner Closed February's Drawdown
Four consecutive winners across three sessions and two instruments. Net MTD moved from −8.77R to −2.28R. The system did not change posture during the drawdown and did not change posture during the recovery.
- - Feb 24·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on February 24, The System Flipped Direction Without Hesitation
After two winning US30 shorts, the system entered a long on NAS100 the next session. Same threshold, opposite direction. The confluence math picks the playbook, not the trader's recent bias.
Feb 24Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on February 24, The System Flipped Direction Without Hesitation
After two winning US30 shorts, the system entered a long on NAS100 the next session. Same threshold, opposite direction. The confluence math picks the playbook, not the trader's recent bias.
- - Feb 23·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Five Trades, Four Winners, Two Clean TP3 Shorts: Feb 16-22
A short, sharp week. Five entries, four winners, two clean US30 shorts that rode all the way to TP3. Net +1.73R on the simulated account, the best win rate of February so far.
Feb 23Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Five Trades, Four Winners, Two Clean TP3 Shorts: Feb 16-22
A short, sharp week. Five entries, four winners, two clean US30 shorts that rode all the way to TP3. Net +1.73R on the simulated account, the best win rate of February so far.
- - Feb 20·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on February 20, Nineteen Evaluations Before the Same Setup Cleared
The day after a one-evaluation entry, the same system on the same instrument waited nineteen cycles before confluence cleared. Same setup, same outcome, different patience. The wait-and-confirm discipline in action.
Feb 20Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on February 20, Nineteen Evaluations Before the Same Setup Cleared
The day after a one-evaluation entry, the same system on the same instrument waited nineteen cycles before confluence cleared. Same setup, same outcome, different patience. The wait-and-confirm discipline in action.
- - Feb 19·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on February 19, The Trade That Broke the Losing Streak
The system was 1-and-11 for the month at −8.77R when the Trend Agent took one look at a VWAP fade, entered on the first evaluation, and ran it to TP3 for +2.23R. The trade that broke the streak.
Feb 19Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on February 19, The Trade That Broke the Losing Streak
The system was 1-and-11 for the month at −8.77R when the Trend Agent took one look at a VWAP fade, entered on the first evaluation, and ran it to TP3 for +2.23R. The trade that broke the streak.
- - Feb 17·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on Feb 17: The Pullback-to-Go in a Month That Wouldn't Cooperate
Four evaluations across four minutes, a long entry at 24,657.5 inside a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 51.5-point move to TP1 in 70 minutes for +0.62R.
Feb 17Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on Feb 17: The Pullback-to-Go in a Month That Wouldn't Cooperate
Four evaluations across four minutes, a long entry at 24,657.5 inside a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 51.5-point move to TP1 in 70 minutes for +0.62R.
- - Feb 17·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on February 17: The First Win After Ten Losses, Earned at +0.43R
Four evaluations across four minutes, an entry at 49,536.1 inside a TRANSITIONING regime with HEADWIND macro alignment, and a 53.9-point move to TP1 in 1h 9m for +0.43R on a month that had paid -10R in front of it.
Feb 17Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on February 17: The First Win After Ten Losses, Earned at +0.43R
Four evaluations across four minutes, an entry at 49,536.1 inside a TRANSITIONING regime with HEADWIND macro alignment, and a 53.9-point move to TP1 in 1h 9m for +0.43R on a month that had paid -10R in front of it.
- - Feb 16·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Nine Trades, Six Winners, +5.1R: Feb 9-15 Weekly Recap
Nine entries, six winners, three losses, 66.7 percent win rate. The week closed at +5.10R on a TP1-baseline scoreboard, the strongest week of February so far on the simulated account.
Feb 16Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Nine Trades, Six Winners, +5.1R: Feb 9-15 Weekly Recap
Nine entries, six winners, three losses, 66.7 percent win rate. The week closed at +5.10R on a TP1-baseline scoreboard, the strongest week of February so far on the simulated account.
- - Feb 16·Drawdown·DRAWDOWN-
Three Losses Inside a Winning Week: The Feb 9-15 Drawdown Report
Three losses, all at -1R, on a week that closed +5.10R net across 9 trades. The loss-side ledger for Feb 9-15, paired with the statistical context that explains why winning weeks still produce drawdowns.
Feb 16DrawdownDRAWDOWN-Three Losses Inside a Winning Week: The Feb 9-15 Drawdown Report
Three losses, all at -1R, on a week that closed +5.10R net across 9 trades. The loss-side ledger for Feb 9-15, paired with the statistical context that explains why winning weeks still produce drawdowns.
- - Feb 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on Feb 13: The Nine-Minute Fade Against the Carry Tape
A single evaluation at 15:02 UTC, a short into the 49,360 to 49,410 supply zone with the Trend Agent reading bullish at 63%, and a 71-point move to TP1 in nine minutes for +0.57R.
Feb 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on Feb 13: The Nine-Minute Fade Against the Carry Tape
A single evaluation at 15:02 UTC, a short into the 49,360 to 49,410 supply zone with the Trend Agent reading bullish at 63%, and a 71-point move to TP1 in nine minutes for +0.57R.
- - Feb 13·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on February 13: A Single-Cycle Continuation to TP2 for +1.02R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on the first evaluation at 16:34 UTC into a VWAP reclaim and prior-day-high breakout. The position ran from 6850.8 to TP2 at 6868 for +1.02R, the first green print of February 2026.
Feb 13Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on February 13: A Single-Cycle Continuation to TP2 for +1.02R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on the first evaluation at 16:34 UTC into a VWAP reclaim and prior-day-high breakout. The position ran from 6850.8 to TP2 at 6868 for +1.02R, the first green print of February 2026.
- - Feb 13·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on Feb 13: A Bullish Trend Read That Still Fired the Fade
Three evaluations across ten minutes, a Trend Agent stuck at BULLISH 66%, and a counter-trend short into the 6846 to 6852 resistance band that closed TP1 at 6830 for +0.74R inside an hour and fourteen minutes.
Feb 13Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on Feb 13: A Bullish Trend Read That Still Fired the Fade
Three evaluations across ten minutes, a Trend Agent stuck at BULLISH 66%, and a counter-trend short into the 6846 to 6852 resistance band that closed TP1 at 6830 for +0.74R inside an hour and fourteen minutes.
- - Feb 11·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on February 11: The Responsive Buy That Held the Floor
A Fed-easing tape, a 5-minute reclaim of 50,000, and a single-evaluation enter at 16:02 UTC. The Trend Agent took the responsive long inside the C+ pullback zone and ran it +2.64R to TP1.
Feb 11Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on February 11: The Responsive Buy That Held the Floor
A Fed-easing tape, a 5-minute reclaim of 50,000, and a single-evaluation enter at 16:02 UTC. The Trend Agent took the responsive long inside the C+ pullback zone and ran it +2.64R to TP1.
- - Feb 10·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on Feb 10: Twenty-Eight Minutes of Discipline at the VWAP Pullback
Thirteen declines across twenty-eight minutes, one enter at 16:30 UTC, and a 1-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +2.3R. The first credited winner of the year on a transitioning Dow tape with macro flagged HEADWIND.
Feb 10Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on Feb 10: Twenty-Eight Minutes of Discipline at the VWAP Pullback
Thirteen declines across twenty-eight minutes, one enter at 16:30 UTC, and a 1-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +2.3R. The first credited winner of the year on a transitioning Dow tape with macro flagged HEADWIND.
- - Feb 09·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on February 9: A Single-Pass Pullback Buy
One evaluation at 15:02 UTC, 63% confidence, immediate entry into a 78.6 to 61.8 fib pocket on the 48,609 to 50,244 swing. Thirty minutes to TP2 at 50,160 for +2.02R on a transitioning macro tape.
Feb 09Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on February 9: A Single-Pass Pullback Buy
One evaluation at 15:02 UTC, 63% confidence, immediate entry into a 78.6 to 61.8 fib pocket on the 48,609 to 50,244 swing. Thirty minutes to TP2 at 50,160 for +2.02R on a transitioning macro tape.
- - Feb 09·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
The Week the System Took One Trade — Feb 2-8 Weekly Recap
One trade, one loss, four sessions of zero activity. The first published week of February shows what a system looks like when the macro tape gives it nothing to trade. Net −1R on the simulated account.
Feb 09Weekly RecapWEEKLY-The Week the System Took One Trade — Feb 2-8 Weekly Recap
One trade, one loss, four sessions of zero activity. The first published week of February shows what a system looks like when the macro tape gives it nothing to trade. Net −1R on the simulated account.
- - Feb 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
January 2026 Monthly Recap: Launch Month, Three Winners, +3.02R
Three trades. Three winners. 100 percent win rate at plus 3.02R net on the TP1 baseline. The launch month delivered early system traction across NAS100 and US30 with the four-agent gate coming online.
Feb 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-January 2026 Monthly Recap: Launch Month, Three Winners, +3.02R
Three trades. Three winners. 100 percent win rate at plus 3.02R net on the TP1 baseline. The launch month delivered early system traction across NAS100 and US30 with the four-agent gate coming online.
- - Jan 20·Case Study·US30.CASH-FTMO·SHORT-
US30 Short on January 20 - The Standout Launch-Period Trade
Seventeen evaluations, one ENTER on a Short the Bounce on the FTMO US30 into a tariff-headline risk-off tape. The position ran 345 points to TP3 with zero recorded drawdown. Result: +3.67R full, +1.12R TP1 baseline.
Jan 20Case StudyUS30.CASH-FTMO·SHORT-US30 Short on January 20 - The Standout Launch-Period Trade
Seventeen evaluations, one ENTER on a Short the Bounce on the FTMO US30 into a tariff-headline risk-off tape. The position ran 345 points to TP3 with zero recorded drawdown. Result: +3.67R full, +1.12R TP1 baseline.
- - Jan 15·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on January 15 - A Launch-Period Pullback Entry
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Pullback Long taken on the Pepperstone NAS100 in NY active. The position banked TP1 in 38 minutes; the runner reversed back to stop. Result: +0.78R on TP1 baseline.
Jan 15Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on January 15 - A Launch-Period Pullback Entry
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Pullback Long taken on the Pepperstone NAS100 in NY active. The position banked TP1 in 38 minutes; the runner reversed back to stop. Result: +0.78R on TP1 baseline.
- - Jan 12·Case Study·US100.CASH-FTMO·LONG-
US100 Long on January 12 - A Launch-Period Breakout Continuation
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Breakout Continuation long taken on the FTMO US100. The position ran past TP1, hit TP2, and faded back to the runner's stop. Result: +1.12R on TP1 baseline.
Jan 12Case StudyUS100.CASH-FTMO·LONG-US100 Long on January 12 - A Launch-Period Breakout Continuation
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Breakout Continuation long taken on the FTMO US100. The position ran past TP1, hit TP2, and faded back to the runner's stop. Result: +1.12R on TP1 baseline.
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