Every trade. Every decision. Documented.
SkyAnalyst's full editorial record of its AI trading system, case studies, weekly and monthly recaps, and honest drawdown reports. No cherry-picking. Results across long windows.
The full SkyAnalyst Journal in one stream — case studies, recaps, weekly losses, and insights, sorted by trade date.
- Jun 01·Case Study·MULTI·SHORT-
2026 Year-to-Date: 121 Trades, +19.99R, the Year SkyAnalyst Found Its Cadence
121 trades since Jan 12 inception, 70 winners, 51 losers, +19.99R net at TP1 baseline. A $100,000 simulated account at 2% risk sits at $139,996 static, $145,328 compounded. A system that launched slow, ramped staged, consolidated by May.
Jun 01Case StudyMULTI·SHORT-2026 Year-to-Date: 121 Trades, +19.99R, the Year SkyAnalyst Found Its Cadence
121 trades since Jan 12 inception, 70 winners, 51 losers, +19.99R net at TP1 baseline. A $100,000 simulated account at 2% risk sits at $139,996 static, $145,328 compounded. A system that launched slow, ramped staged, consolidated by May.
- - Jun 01·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
May 25-31, 2026: A Three-and-Three Week Closed -1.01R Net
Six trades, three winners, three losers, -1.01R net at the TP1 baseline. Tuesday opened with a 3-for-3 morning printing +1.99R inside thirty minutes; Wednesday and Thursday gave it back through two US30 stops and an EURUSD stop.
Jun 01Weekly RecapWEEKLY-May 25-31, 2026: A Three-and-Three Week Closed -1.01R Net
Six trades, three winners, three losers, -1.01R net at the TP1 baseline. Tuesday opened with a 3-for-3 morning printing +1.99R inside thirty minutes; Wednesday and Thursday gave it back through two US30 stops and an EURUSD stop.
- - Jun 01·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Three Stops, One Tape: A 5.77% Drawdown on a Thin Week
Three stops, three R given back, a peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.77 percent, and a longest losing streak of three across two trading sessions. What each stop taught us, and what the curve says about a week the runner never showed up.
Jun 01Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Three Stops, One Tape: A 5.77% Drawdown on a Thin Week
Three stops, three R given back, a peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.77 percent, and a longest losing streak of three across two trading sessions. What each stop taught us, and what the curve says about a week the runner never showed up.
- - Jun 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
May 2026: Forty-Seven Trades, +8.33R Net, the Month Claude Pulled Ahead
Forty-seven trades, twenty-seven winners, twenty losers, +8.33R net at the TP1 baseline. Claude ran +6.89R on 26 trades at 61.5 percent; GPT printed +1.45R on 21 trades at 52.4 percent. The two-model lineup stabilized this month.
Jun 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-May 2026: Forty-Seven Trades, +8.33R Net, the Month Claude Pulled Ahead
Forty-seven trades, twenty-seven winners, twenty losers, +8.33R net at the TP1 baseline. Claude ran +6.89R on 26 trades at 61.5 percent; GPT printed +1.45R on 21 trades at 52.4 percent. The two-model lineup stabilized this month.
- - May 26·Case Study·GBPUSD·SHORT-
GBPUSD Short: A Pre-Written Failed Retest That Filled to the Pip
The NY AM plan defined the entry zone at 1.34655 to 1.34670 before the candle printed. The entry filled at 1.34657. TP3 hit in 1h 11m for a full-potential 1.55R.
May 26Case StudyGBPUSD·SHORT-GBPUSD Short: A Pre-Written Failed Retest That Filled to the Pip
The NY AM plan defined the entry zone at 1.34655 to 1.34670 before the candle printed. The entry filled at 1.34657. TP3 hit in 1h 11m for a full-potential 1.55R.
- - May 26·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long: TP1 Hit, +0.78R Booked, the Reversal Came After
Claude Opus 4.7 entered NAS100 long at 29939.2 on a single evaluation. TP1 printed in 1h 51m. The broker closed the position. Then the tape rolled 96 points lower.
May 26Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long: TP1 Hit, +0.78R Booked, the Reversal Came After
Claude Opus 4.7 entered NAS100 long at 29939.2 on a single evaluation. TP1 printed in 1h 51m. The broker closed the position. Then the tape rolled 96 points lower.
- - May 26·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long: The Conditional Pullback That Refused to Chase
The pre-trade plan capped the entry zone at 159.238 to 159.250 and forbade chasing above 159.280. GPT-5.5 entered at 159.248. The position ran through TP3 in 1h 8m.
May 26Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long: The Conditional Pullback That Refused to Chase
The pre-trade plan capped the entry zone at 159.238 to 159.250 and forbade chasing above 159.280. GPT-5.5 entered at 159.248. The position ran through TP3 in 1h 8m.
- - May 25·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
May 18-24, 2026: A Seven-Eleven Week That Closed -2.82R Across Claude and GPT
Eighteen trades, seven winners, eleven losers, -2.82R net at TP1 baseline. Claude opened Monday with two early wins, GPT carried the index side mid-week, and a Friday cluster netted both sides back toward flat without crossing it.
May 25Weekly RecapWEEKLY-May 18-24, 2026: A Seven-Eleven Week That Closed -2.82R Across Claude and GPT
Eighteen trades, seven winners, eleven losers, -2.82R net at TP1 baseline. Claude opened Monday with two early wins, GPT carried the index side mid-week, and a Friday cluster netted both sides back toward flat without crossing it.
- - May 25·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Eleven stops, one tape: the week structure refused to confirm
Eleven losses, nine R given back, a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.81 percent and a longest losing streak of four. The honest portfolio view: what each stop taught us, and what the curve says about a week the structure refused to confirm.
May 25Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Eleven stops, one tape: the week structure refused to confirm
Eleven losses, nine R given back, a peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.81 percent and a longest losing streak of four. The honest portfolio view: what each stop taught us, and what the curve says about a week the structure refused to confirm.
- - May 22·Case Study·GBPUSD·LONG-
GBPUSD Long: A Borderline Carry That Held for Two Sessions
Claude Opus 4.7 took a long against its own Macro Agent's bearish 70 percent read. Entry 1.3439, exit 1.34697 across 54 hours and 22 minutes. Zero pips of drawdown.
May 22Case StudyGBPUSD·LONG-GBPUSD Long: A Borderline Carry That Held for Two Sessions
Claude Opus 4.7 took a long against its own Macro Agent's bearish 70 percent read. Entry 1.3439, exit 1.34697 across 54 hours and 22 minutes. Zero pips of drawdown.
- - May 22·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long Resolves a Macro vs Tape Conflict for a +2.19R Runner
A C+ setup. The Macro Agent's right-rail read said lean_bear at 66 percent. Breadth and VIX broke the tie. Entry at 50634, TP3 at 50840, zero drawdown across two hours and fifty-one minutes.
May 22Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long Resolves a Macro vs Tape Conflict for a +2.19R Runner
A C+ setup. The Macro Agent's right-rail read said lean_bear at 66 percent. Breadth and VIX broke the tie. Entry at 50634, TP3 at 50840, zero drawdown across two hours and fifty-one minutes.
- - May 22·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long Waits for the Conditional Reclaim Before Buying the Dip
GPT-5.5 refused four times before entering US500 long at 7487.2. The Trend Agent required a reclaim of the opening-range breakdown zone, not the VWAP touch. TP1 booked +1.15R.
May 22Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long Waits for the Conditional Reclaim Before Buying the Dip
GPT-5.5 refused four times before entering US500 long at 7487.2. The Trend Agent required a reclaim of the opening-range breakdown zone, not the VWAP touch. TP1 booked +1.15R.
- - May 20·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long Books TP2 in Nine Minutes Ahead of the FOMC Minutes Print
GPT-5.5 took a US500 long pullback retest fifteen minutes before the FOMC minutes release. The trade ran twenty-seven points to TP2 in nine minutes for +2.12R full potential, +0.94R realized.
May 20Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long Books TP2 in Nine Minutes Ahead of the FOMC Minutes Print
GPT-5.5 took a US500 long pullback retest fifteen minutes before the FOMC minutes release. The trade ran twenty-seven points to TP2 in nine minutes for +2.12R full potential, +0.94R realized.
- - May 19·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short Continuation Runs Straight to TP2 on a Hundred-Point Stop
Powered by GPT-5.5, the AI Trader took a US30 short continuation with a tight hundred-point stop. The move ran straight from 49525 to TP2 at 49265 for +2.6R (TP2).
May 19Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short Continuation Runs Straight to TP2 on a Hundred-Point Stop
Powered by GPT-5.5, the AI Trader took a US30 short continuation with a tight hundred-point stop. The move ran straight from 49525 to TP2 at 49265 for +2.6R (TP2).
- - May 18·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short Waits Four Times Before Taking the Trade to TP2
Yields at fresh five-day highs pulled NAS100 down through the New York open. The system sat through four evaluations before entering, then ran the move to TP2 for +1.6R (TP2).
May 18Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short Waits Four Times Before Taking the Trade to TP2
Yields at fresh five-day highs pulled NAS100 down through the New York open. The system sat through four evaluations before entering, then ran the move to TP2 for +1.6R (TP2).
- - May 18·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long Holds Through a Near-Miss to TP2 on May 18
A bullish ten-year yield read kept us long USDJPY into the New York close. The system held through a failed TP1 probe and overnight chop, with the move reaching +1.76R (TP2).
May 18Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long Holds Through a Near-Miss to TP2 on May 18
A bullish ten-year yield read kept us long USDJPY into the New York close. The system held through a failed TP1 probe and overnight chop, with the move reaching +1.76R (TP2).
- - May 18·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
May 11-17, 2026: Seven-Three Week, +5.96R Net Across a Model Upgrade
Ten canonical trades, seven winners, three losers, +5.96R net at the TP1 baseline. Tuesday and Wednesday ran on Claude Opus 4.6, Friday switched to Opus 4.7, and GBPUSD came online as a new instrument and won both its trades.
May 18Weekly RecapWEEKLY-May 11-17, 2026: Seven-Three Week, +5.96R Net Across a Model Upgrade
Ten canonical trades, seven winners, three losers, +5.96R net at the TP1 baseline. Tuesday and Wednesday ran on Claude Opus 4.6, Friday switched to Opus 4.7, and GBPUSD came online as a new instrument and won both its trades.
- - May 18·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Three stops, one regime: the week the tape refused to confirm
Three losses, 2.25R given back against a year that still reads +20.43R. The honest portfolio view: what every stop taught us, and what the drawdown curve says about a week that drew down 2.4 percent and recovered.
May 18Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Three stops, one regime: the week the tape refused to confirm
Three losses, 2.25R given back against a year that still reads +20.43R. The honest portfolio view: what every stop taught us, and what the drawdown curve says about a week that drew down 2.4 percent and recovered.
- - May 15·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on May 15: Six Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Euro short where the system scored six consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 62 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +2.00R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
May 15Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on May 15: Six Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Euro short where the system scored six consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 62 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +2.00R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
- - May 15·Case Study·GBPUSD·SHORT-
GBPUSD Short on May 15: Five Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Cable short where the system scored five consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 72 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +1.89R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
May 15Case StudyGBPUSD·SHORT-GBPUSD Short on May 15: Five Waits, One Enter, a Clean TP1 Fill
A risk-off Cable short where the system scored five consecutive waits in the low 40s, then flipped to enter at 72 percent, and the position closed TP1 for +1.89R (TP1) with zero recorded drawdown.
- - May 15·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long on May 15: One Wait, One Enter, a Two-Minute Decision
A yield-driven USDJPY pullback long where the system passed once at 40 percent, then entered at 68 percent ninety seconds later, and closed TP1 for +0.78R (TP1) despite a Macro Agent flagging avoid.
May 15Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long on May 15: One Wait, One Enter, a Two-Minute Decision
A yield-driven USDJPY pullback long where the system passed once at 40 percent, then entered at 68 percent ninety seconds later, and closed TP1 for +0.78R (TP1) despite a Macro Agent flagging avoid.
- - May 14·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long Holds Overnight to TP2 on a VWAP-Pivot Pullback Continuation
GPT-5.5 took a NAS100 long on a VWAP and daily-pivot pullback. The position held overnight, finishing at TP2 the next session for +1.6R full potential, +0.87R realized at TP1.
May 14Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long Holds Overnight to TP2 on a VWAP-Pivot Pullback Continuation
GPT-5.5 took a NAS100 long on a VWAP and daily-pivot pullback. The position held overnight, finishing at TP2 the next session for +1.6R full potential, +0.87R realized at TP1.
- - May 13·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short Runs to TP3 on a TRENDING Read for +1.82R Full Potential
GPT-5.5 took a EURUSD short on a TRENDING bearish read at 82 percent confidence. The move ran through TP1, TP2, and finished at TP3 for +1.82R full potential.
May 13Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short Runs to TP3 on a TRENDING Read for +1.82R Full Potential
GPT-5.5 took a EURUSD short on a TRENDING bearish read at 82 percent confidence. The move ran through TP1, TP2, and finished at TP3 for +1.82R full potential.
- - May 13·Case Study·GBPUSD·SHORT-
GBPUSD Short on May 13: The First Cable Case Study, Thirteen Reads Deep
GBPUSD came online as a new automation, and its first published trade was a slow one: twelve waits, one enter at 62 percent, and a 22-hour hold to TP1 for +1.14R (TP1).
May 13Case StudyGBPUSD·SHORT-GBPUSD Short on May 13: The First Cable Case Study, Thirteen Reads Deep
GBPUSD came online as a new automation, and its first published trade was a slow one: twelve waits, one enter at 62 percent, and a 22-hour hold to TP1 for +1.14R (TP1).
- - May 13·Case Study·GBPUSD·SHORT-
GBPUSD Short Holds Overnight to TP2 for +2.03R Full Potential
GPT-5.5 took a GBPUSD short at the VWAP/prior-low rejection. The trade held through the European overnight session and finished at TP2 for +2.03R full potential, +1.09R realized at TP1.
May 13Case StudyGBPUSD·SHORT-GBPUSD Short Holds Overnight to TP2 for +2.03R Full Potential
GPT-5.5 took a GBPUSD short at the VWAP/prior-low rejection. The trade held through the European overnight session and finished at TP2 for +2.03R full potential, +1.09R realized at TP1.
- - May 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short Books a Quick TP1 on a Pullback Into the Opening-Range High
GPT-5.5 took a US30 short on the morning opening-range high failure. The trade ran sixty-two points to TP1 in under four hours for +1.18R full potential, +1.18R realized.
May 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short Books a Quick TP1 on a Pullback Into the Opening-Range High
GPT-5.5 took a US30 short on the morning opening-range high failure. The trade ran sixty-two points to TP1 in under four hours for +1.18R full potential, +1.18R realized.
- - May 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on a PPI Risk-Off Tape: A Disciplined +0.83R Sell-the-Rip
A hot PPI print flipped the Dow into a risk-off session. SkyAnalyst waited one cycle for the rejection candle, then took the short. Here is the full arc, recorded as a TP1 exit at +0.83R.
May 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on a PPI Risk-Off Tape: A Disciplined +0.83R Sell-the-Rip
A hot PPI print flipped the Dow into a risk-off session. SkyAnalyst waited one cycle for the rejection candle, then took the short. Here is the full arc, recorded as a TP1 exit at +0.83R.
- - May 13·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long Books a Counter-Macro TP1 on Tight VWAP-Fib-EMA Support
GPT-5.5 took a USDJPY long at a tight VWAP/Fib/EMA cluster, against the day's lean_bear macro. The trade ran to TP1 in five hours for +0.87R full potential, +0.87R realized.
May 13Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long Books a Counter-Macro TP1 on Tight VWAP-Fib-EMA Support
GPT-5.5 took a USDJPY long at a tight VWAP/Fib/EMA cluster, against the day's lean_bear macro. The trade ran to TP1 in five hours for +0.87R full potential, +0.87R realized.
- - May 12·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short: A Second Setup, a Disciplined Wait, and a Give-Back Exit
After a clean TP3 winner earlier the same morning, the system waited four evaluations before re-entering NAS100 short. TP2 printed in under an hour, then price trailed back to a broker stop.
May 12Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short: A Second Setup, a Disciplined Wait, and a Give-Back Exit
After a clean TP3 winner earlier the same morning, the system waited four evaluations before re-entering NAS100 short. TP2 printed in under an hour, then price trailed back to a broker stop.
- - May 12·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short, VWAP Rejection, and the +3.21R We Almost Skipped
Hot CPI, yields at a new 5-day high, and four straight waits before the system finally entered short at 29,134.5. Fifty-seven minutes later, the trade printed TP3.
May 12Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short, VWAP Rejection, and the +3.21R We Almost Skipped
Hot CPI, yields at a new 5-day high, and four straight waits before the system finally entered short at 29,134.5. Fifty-seven minutes later, the trade printed TP3.
- - May 11·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
May 4-10, 2026: Four-Four Split, -0.04R Net After Mid-Week Drawdown
Eight canonical trades, four winners, four losers, -0.04R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday banked +1.93R on two winners, Wednesday peaked at +2.96R before an afternoon stop, and Thursday and Friday closed two more.
May 11Weekly RecapWEEKLY-May 4-10, 2026: Four-Four Split, -0.04R Net After Mid-Week Drawdown
Eight canonical trades, four winners, four losers, -0.04R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday banked +1.93R on two winners, Wednesday peaked at +2.96R before an afternoon stop, and Thursday and Friday closed two more.
- - May 11·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
May 4-10, 2026: Four straight losses, and the math behind them
Four consecutive losses, -4R given back, a peak-to-trough drawdown of -5.66% on the simulated equity curve. This is what the long tail of a positive-expectancy edge looks like up close — and the math says it is expected.
May 11Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-May 4-10, 2026: Four straight losses, and the math behind them
Four consecutive losses, -4R given back, a peak-to-trough drawdown of -5.66% on the simulated equity curve. This is what the long tail of a positive-expectancy edge looks like up close — and the math says it is expected.
- - May 06·Case Study·EURUSD·LONG-
EURUSD Long on Trend Pullback: Eighteen Minutes of Waiting, One Trigger
Eleven evaluations between 14:07 and 14:25 UTC. Ten declined. One entered at the 38.2 percent Fibonacci shelf with the macro tape already supportive. The pullback closed +1R on TP1.
May 06Case StudyEURUSD·LONG-EURUSD Long on Trend Pullback: Eighteen Minutes of Waiting, One Trigger
Eleven evaluations between 14:07 and 14:25 UTC. Ten declined. One entered at the 38.2 percent Fibonacci shelf with the macro tape already supportive. The pullback closed +1R on TP1.
- - May 06·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on May 6: Yields at 5-Day Lows and a Clean VWAP Continuation
Five evaluations across six minutes, one enter at 14:15 UTC, and a clean continuation off the VWAP and Fibonacci 38.2% confluence into the session high for +1.03R on TP1.
May 06Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on May 6: Yields at 5-Day Lows and a Clean VWAP Continuation
Five evaluations across six minutes, one enter at 14:15 UTC, and a clean continuation off the VWAP and Fibonacci 38.2% confluence into the session high for +1.03R on TP1.
- - May 04·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on VWAP Rejection: One Evaluation, One Entry, +2.22R
Macro confidence sat at 48 percent — below the conviction threshold. The system applied range-bound protocol, reduced size, and took the VWAP rejection anyway. Entry to TP2 in 86 minutes.
May 04Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on VWAP Rejection: One Evaluation, One Entry, +2.22R
Macro confidence sat at 48 percent — below the conviction threshold. The system applied range-bound protocol, reduced size, and took the VWAP rejection anyway. Entry to TP2 in 86 minutes.
- - May 04·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on May 4: A C+ VWAP Pullback That Opens the Month
Eleven evaluations, two enters, one position. The first NAS100 trigger of May fired against a yield headwind, took TP1 in fourteen minutes, and credited +0.40R with no recorded drawdown.
May 04Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on May 4: A C+ VWAP Pullback That Opens the Month
Eleven evaluations, two enters, one position. The first NAS100 trigger of May fired against a yield headwind, took TP1 in fourteen minutes, and credited +0.40R with no recorded drawdown.
- - May 04·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 27 to May 3, 2026: Three Partial Winners Banked +2.24R After a Monday Stop
Four trades, three winners, one loss, +2.24R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday opened with a US30 stop, then three sequential winners across US500 and NAS100 closed the week +75 percent at the win rate.
May 04Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 27 to May 3, 2026: Three Partial Winners Banked +2.24R After a Monday Stop
Four trades, three winners, one loss, +2.24R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday opened with a US30 stop, then three sequential winners across US500 and NAS100 closed the week +75 percent at the win rate.
- - May 04·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Weekly Losses, One US30 Long Stops Monday Inside a 3-Win Week
Four trades on the week, three wins and one stop-out. The single loss came on Monday's opening US30 long. YTD ledger holds at +13.04R, compound balance $1,527 ahead of static.
May 04Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Weekly Losses, One US30 Long Stops Monday Inside a 3-Win Week
Four trades on the week, three wins and one stop-out. The single loss came on Monday's opening US30 long. YTD ledger holds at +13.04R, compound balance $1,527 ahead of static.
- - May 01·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on May 1: A Fibonacci and EMA9 Pullback That Banked TP1 at +1.38R
A C+ long on the Nasdaq 100 triggered on a single evaluation into the Fibonacci 38.2 percent and 5m EMA9 confluence. The position ran to TP1 at 27,750 for +1.38R on the TP1 baseline, the closing winner of the week.
May 01Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on May 1: A Fibonacci and EMA9 Pullback That Banked TP1 at +1.38R
A C+ long on the Nasdaq 100 triggered on a single evaluation into the Fibonacci 38.2 percent and 5m EMA9 confluence. The position ran to TP1 at 27,750 for +1.38R on the TP1 baseline, the closing winner of the week.
- - May 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
April 2026 Monthly Recap: 18 Trades, Indexes Carry the Month, +2.24R Net
Eighteen trades. Ten winners, eight losers, 55.6 percent win rate. Net plus 2.24R on a TP1 baseline. The equity-index complex did the work; the lone B-grade entry of the month was the cleanest decision on the record.
May 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-April 2026 Monthly Recap: 18 Trades, Indexes Carry the Month, +2.24R Net
Eighteen trades. Ten winners, eight losers, 55.6 percent win rate. Net plus 2.24R on a TP1 baseline. The equity-index complex did the work; the lone B-grade entry of the month was the cleanest decision on the record.
- - Apr 30·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on April 30: A VWAP Pullback That Ran TP2 for +1.86R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on a first-cycle read into the prior day high and VWAP confluence. The runner extended past TP1 at 7183 to TP2 at 7196 for +1.86R, the largest winner of the week.
Apr 30Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on April 30: A VWAP Pullback That Ran TP2 for +1.86R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on a first-cycle read into the prior day high and VWAP confluence. The runner extended past TP1 at 7183 to TP2 at 7196 for +1.86R, the largest winner of the week.
- - Apr 28·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on April 28: A Bear Flag Breakdown That Banked TP1 at +0.78R
A C+ short on the S&P 500 triggered after two evaluations into a bear flag breakdown of the NY opening range. The position ran to TP1 at 7123 for +0.78R on the TP1 baseline before the runner stopped on the reclaim.
Apr 28Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on April 28: A Bear Flag Breakdown That Banked TP1 at +0.78R
A C+ short on the S&P 500 triggered after two evaluations into a bear flag breakdown of the NY opening range. The position ran to TP1 at 7123 for +0.78R on the TP1 baseline before the runner stopped on the reclaim.
- - Apr 27·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 20-26, 2026: One EURUSD TP3 Winner, Two Stops, Window Closes -0.33R
Three filled trades, one winner, two losses, -0.33R net at the TP1 baseline. The Apr 23 EURUSD short ran clean to TP3. The other two stopped at -1R inside the first hour after fill.
Apr 27Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 20-26, 2026: One EURUSD TP3 Winner, Two Stops, Window Closes -0.33R
Three filled trades, one winner, two losses, -0.33R net at the TP1 baseline. The Apr 23 EURUSD short ran clean to TP3. The other two stopped at -1R inside the first hour after fill.
- - Apr 27·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Apr 20-26, 2026: Two stops, two index trades, 2R given back
A 33% win rate week where both decisive losses sat on the same playbook shape. The system gave back 2R against +10.67R YTD, and the loss attribution lands entirely on index instruments under Claude Opus 4.6.
Apr 27Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Apr 20-26, 2026: Two stops, two index trades, 2R given back
A 33% win rate week where both decisive losses sat on the same playbook shape. The system gave back 2R against +10.67R YTD, and the loss attribution lands entirely on index instruments under Claude Opus 4.6.
- - Apr 20·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 13-19, 2026: Friday's US30 Long Broke a Three-Loss Slide to Close Green
Seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.39R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday's three-winner morning ran the equity to +2.86R, three midweek stops pulled cumulative below zero, then a Friday US30 long at 15:25 UTC rescued the week.
Apr 20Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 13-19, 2026: Friday's US30 Long Broke a Three-Loss Slide to Close Green
Seven trades, four winners, three losses, +1.39R net at the TP1 baseline. Monday's three-winner morning ran the equity to +2.86R, three midweek stops pulled cumulative below zero, then a Friday US30 long at 15:25 UTC rescued the week.
- - Apr 20·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Apr 13-19, 2026: Three Stops, -3R Given Back Inside a Green Week
Three losses, all at -1R, no exits above the stop. Net -3.00R for the loss-side ledger across Tue, Thu, and Fri. The same five sessions closed +1.39R on the recap. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
Apr 20Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Apr 13-19, 2026: Three Stops, -3R Given Back Inside a Green Week
Three losses, all at -1R, no exits above the stop. Net -3.00R for the loss-side ledger across Tue, Thu, and Fri. The same five sessions closed +1.39R on the recap. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
- - Apr 17·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on April 17: The Trigger That Carried After Two Stops
A C+ Bullish Pullback to Micro-Support, three waits across six minutes, one enter at 15:25 UTC, and a 3-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +1.53R. The third trigger after two stops on the same risk-on tape.
Apr 17Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on April 17: The Trigger That Carried After Two Stops
A C+ Bullish Pullback to Micro-Support, three waits across six minutes, one enter at 15:25 UTC, and a 3-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +1.53R. The third trigger after two stops on the same risk-on tape.
- - Apr 13·Case Study·EURUSD·LONG-
EURUSD Long on April 13: Same Tape, Bigger R-Multiple
Three waits, one enter at 15:15 UTC, and a clean ride from 1.17047 to 1.17388 over three hours and eleven minutes. The same soft-dollar tape, a higher-quality entry, +3.15R to TP3.
Apr 13Case StudyEURUSD·LONG-EURUSD Long on April 13: Same Tape, Bigger R-Multiple
Three waits, one enter at 15:15 UTC, and a clean ride from 1.17047 to 1.17388 over three hours and eleven minutes. The same soft-dollar tape, a higher-quality entry, +3.15R to TP3.
- - Apr 13·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 13: The First TP3 of the Week
A C+ Bullish Pullback Long on the Nasdaq 100, four waits across six minutes, one enter at 14:21 UTC, and a four-hour ride to TP3 for +2.22R. The first TP3 of the week.
Apr 13Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 13: The First TP3 of the Week
A C+ Bullish Pullback Long on the Nasdaq 100, four waits across six minutes, one enter at 14:21 UTC, and a four-hour ride to TP3 for +2.22R. The first TP3 of the week.
- - Apr 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on April 13: The Trio's Dissenting Voice
Eight declines across twelve minutes, one enter at 14:49 UTC, and a 91-minute fade off the 47,712 to 47,764 resistance cluster. The third trade of the April 13 trio, sized smaller against the tape, +1R to TP1.
Apr 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on April 13: The Trio's Dissenting Voice
Eight declines across twelve minutes, one enter at 14:49 UTC, and a 91-minute fade off the 47,712 to 47,764 resistance cluster. The third trade of the April 13 trio, sized smaller against the tape, +1R to TP1.
- - Apr 13·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Apr 6-12, 2026: A Quiet Two-Trade Week That Closed at -0.41R Net
Two trades, one winner, one loss, -0.41R net on a TP1 baseline. The Friday NAS100 long covered most of the Wednesday EURUSD stop. The other four sessions sat outside our setup criteria.
Apr 13Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Apr 6-12, 2026: A Quiet Two-Trade Week That Closed at -0.41R Net
Two trades, one winner, one loss, -0.41R net on a TP1 baseline. The Friday NAS100 long covered most of the Wednesday EURUSD stop. The other four sessions sat outside our setup criteria.
- - Apr 13·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Weekly Losses, One EURUSD Long Stops at Inflection in Mid-Week
Two trades on the week, one winner and one stop-out. The single loss was a EURUSD long on Tuesday that hit its stop at the macro inflection. YTD ledger holds at +9.74R.
Apr 13Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Weekly Losses, One EURUSD Long Stops at Inflection in Mid-Week
Two trades on the week, one winner and one stop-out. The single loss was a EURUSD long on Tuesday that hit its stop at the macro inflection. YTD ledger holds at +9.74R.
- - Apr 10·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 10: A C+ Pullback in a Brutal April
A C+ NAS100 Long Pullback Buy on April 10, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 14:48 UTC, and a clean +0.59R close at TP1 inside an April month-to-date sitting at -4.80R across eight trades.
Apr 10Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 10: A C+ Pullback in a Brutal April
A C+ NAS100 Long Pullback Buy on April 10, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 14:48 UTC, and a clean +0.59R close at TP1 inside an April month-to-date sitting at -4.80R across eight trades.
- - Apr 06·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Month-Bridge Week: Six Trades, +1.68R Net, and Two TP3 Winners Close March
Six trades, four winners, two losses, +1.68R net on a TP1 baseline at a 66.7 percent win rate. The week straddled the Mar/Apr boundary and closed March with two TP3 winners inside 46 minutes on Tuesday afternoon.
Apr 06Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Month-Bridge Week: Six Trades, +1.68R Net, and Two TP3 Winners Close March
Six trades, four winners, two losses, +1.68R net on a TP1 baseline at a 66.7 percent win rate. The week straddled the Mar/Apr boundary and closed March with two TP3 winners inside 46 minutes on Tuesday afternoon.
- - Apr 02·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 2: A Pullback Buy That Took Three Days to Resolve
A C+ Pullback Long at the 78.6% Fib zone on the Nasdaq 100, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 15:55 UTC, and an 88-hour ride to TP2 for +2.2R on a divergent macro tape.
Apr 02Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 2: A Pullback Buy That Took Three Days to Resolve
A C+ Pullback Long at the 78.6% Fib zone on the Nasdaq 100, four evaluations across five minutes, one enter at 15:55 UTC, and an 88-hour ride to TP2 for +2.2R on a divergent macro tape.
- - Apr 01·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on April 1: A Lean-Bear Macro That Did Not Veto
A C+ Pullback to 5m Dynamic Support on the Nasdaq 100, two declines across two minutes, one enter at 14:37 UTC, and a ten-hour ride to TP2 for +1.32R with no recorded drawdown.
Apr 01Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on April 1: A Lean-Bear Macro That Did Not Veto
A C+ Pullback to 5m Dynamic Support on the Nasdaq 100, two declines across two minutes, one enter at 14:37 UTC, and a ten-hour ride to TP2 for +1.32R with no recorded drawdown.
- - Apr 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
March 2026 Monthly Recap: 35 Trades, Three Model Phases, Break-Even Net
Thirty-five trades. Eighteen winners, seventeen losers, 51.4 percent. Net minus 0.36R, essentially flat on a TP1 baseline. Inside one calendar month the engine ran three different models in sequence: GPT-5, GPT-5.4, then Claude Opus 4.6.
Apr 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-March 2026 Monthly Recap: 35 Trades, Three Model Phases, Break-Even Net
Thirty-five trades. Eighteen winners, seventeen losers, 51.4 percent. Net minus 0.36R, essentially flat on a TP1 baseline. Inside one calendar month the engine ran three different models in sequence: GPT-5, GPT-5.4, then Claude Opus 4.6.
- - Mar 31·Case Study·EURUSD·LONG-
EURUSD Long on March 31 - Second of Two Same-Day TP3 Winners
A Bullish Pullback long on EURUSD entered at 1.1520 ran to TP3 at 1.1558 over four hours and seventeen minutes, closing at +1.58R. The second of two TP3 winners on the closing day of a near-flat March.
Mar 31Case StudyEURUSD·LONG-EURUSD Long on March 31 - Second of Two Same-Day TP3 Winners
A Bullish Pullback long on EURUSD entered at 1.1520 ran to TP3 at 1.1558 over four hours and seventeen minutes, closing at +1.58R. The second of two TP3 winners on the closing day of a near-flat March.
- - Mar 31·Case Study·USDJPY·SHORT-
USDJPY Short on March 31 - Closing the Month on a TP3 Winner
A pullback short on USDJPY entered at 159.23 ran to TP3 at 158.75 in 2h 32m, closing at +3.20R. The closing-day winner of a March that finished -0.13R / 22W-20L on the TP1-baseline tally.
Mar 31Case StudyUSDJPY·SHORT-USDJPY Short on March 31 - Closing the Month on a TP3 Winner
A pullback short on USDJPY entered at 159.23 ran to TP3 at 158.75 in 2h 32m, closing at +3.20R. The closing-day winner of a March that finished -0.13R / 22W-20L on the TP1-baseline tally.
- - Mar 30·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
The Mirror Week: Six Straight TP3 Winners and a 72.7 Percent Run
Eleven trades, eight winners, three losses, +3.72R net on the TP1 baseline. Tuesday burned through -3R inside fourteen minutes; Wednesday through Friday answered with six straight TP3 closes on the same threshold.
Mar 30Weekly RecapWEEKLY-The Mirror Week: Six Straight TP3 Winners and a 72.7 Percent Run
Eleven trades, eight winners, three losses, +3.72R net on the TP1 baseline. Tuesday burned through -3R inside fourteen minutes; Wednesday through Friday answered with six straight TP3 closes on the same threshold.
- - Mar 30·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Mar 23-29, 2026: Three Losses Inside Fourteen Minutes on a Bumper Week
Three losses, -3R given back, every stop print compressed inside fourteen minutes on Tuesday afternoon. The same five sessions closed positive on the recap. The drawdown report exists even on bumper weeks.
Mar 30Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Mar 23-29, 2026: Three Losses Inside Fourteen Minutes on a Bumper Week
Three losses, -3R given back, every stop print compressed inside fourteen minutes on Tuesday afternoon. The same five sessions closed positive on the recap. The drawdown report exists even on bumper weeks.
- - Mar 26·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on March 26 - The Fifth Leg of a Seven-Trade Run
A Sell-the-Rally short on EURUSD entered at 1.15531 ran to TP3 at 1.15100 over twenty hours and twenty-one minutes, closing at +3.34R. The fifth winner of a seven-trade streak that bracketed late March.
Mar 26Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on March 26 - The Fifth Leg of a Seven-Trade Run
A Sell-the-Rally short on EURUSD entered at 1.15531 ran to TP3 at 1.15100 over twenty hours and twenty-one minutes, closing at +3.34R. The fifth winner of a seven-trade streak that bracketed late March.
- - Mar 25·Case Study·NAS100·SHORT-
NAS100 Short on March 25: Four Evaluations, One Enter, +2.11R to TP3
The second leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Three waits, one enter at 24207.1. The Trend Agent held the 24310 stop and let the position run eighteen hours and eighteen minutes to TP3 at 23990.
Mar 25Case StudyNAS100·SHORT-NAS100 Short on March 25: Four Evaluations, One Enter, +2.11R to TP3
The second leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Three waits, one enter at 24207.1. The Trend Agent held the 24310 stop and let the position run eighteen hours and eighteen minutes to TP3 at 23990.
- - Mar 25·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on March 25: The First TP3 of a Seven-Trade Streak
Eight evaluations across ten minutes. Seven wait, one enter at 6605. Eighteen hours later the S&P tagged 6555 for +3.23R, opening the best week of the published record.
Mar 25Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on March 25: The First TP3 of a Seven-Trade Streak
Eight evaluations across ten minutes. Seven wait, one enter at 6605. Eighteen hours later the S&P tagged 6555 for +3.23R, opening the best week of the published record.
- - Mar 25·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long on March 25: One Evaluation, One Enter, +2.53R to TP3
Third leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Single-evaluation entry at 159.076 on the closed-bar reclaim. Stop at 158.96 held; position ran 4h 13m to TP3 at 159.37 for +2.53R.
Mar 25Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long on March 25: One Evaluation, One Enter, +2.53R to TP3
Third leg of the seven-trade winning streak. Single-evaluation entry at 159.076 on the closed-bar reclaim. Stop at 158.96 held; position ran 4h 13m to TP3 at 159.37 for +2.53R.
- - Mar 23·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on March 23: A Tactical TP1 Against the Yield Headwind
A C+ NAS100 Tactical Pullback Continuation, one ENTER at 14:34 UTC, the Trend Agent bullish at 62% with macro lean-bear at 39%, and a 1h 18m hold to TP1 for +0.25R against an active 10-year yield headwind.
Mar 23Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on March 23: A Tactical TP1 Against the Yield Headwind
A C+ NAS100 Tactical Pullback Continuation, one ENTER at 14:34 UTC, the Trend Agent bullish at 62% with macro lean-bear at 39%, and a 1h 18m hold to TP1 for +0.25R against an active 10-year yield headwind.
- - Mar 23·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on March 23: One Evaluation, One Enter, TP1 Booked
A B-grade US500 Pullback Long with a single evaluation at 14:36 UTC, an immediate enter at 73% confidence, and a 1-hour 18-minute ride to TP1 for +0.54R against a heavy macro headwind.
Mar 23Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on March 23: One Evaluation, One Enter, TP1 Booked
A B-grade US500 Pullback Long with a single evaluation at 14:36 UTC, an immediate enter at 73% confidence, and a 1-hour 18-minute ride to TP1 for +0.54R against a heavy macro headwind.
- - Mar 23·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Twelve Trades, Five Winners: A Chop-Regime Week That Paid Both Sides
Twelve filled trades, five winners, seven losses, -2.42R net on a TP1 baseline. A Monday +1.5R opener, a Wednesday EURUSD short paid twice, and a Friday USDJPY long thirty seconds after a US30 stop.
Mar 23Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Twelve Trades, Five Winners: A Chop-Regime Week That Paid Both Sides
Twelve filled trades, five winners, seven losses, -2.42R net on a TP1 baseline. A Monday +1.5R opener, a Wednesday EURUSD short paid twice, and a Friday USDJPY long thirty seconds after a US30 stop.
- - Mar 23·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Mar 16-22, 2026: Seven Losses, Seven R Given Back to the Tape
Seven losses, -7.0R given back across four instruments, longest losing streak of 4. The deepest trough in the published record. The recap counts the full 12-trade canonical ledger; the drawdown report counts the loss side.
Mar 23Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Mar 16-22, 2026: Seven Losses, Seven R Given Back to the Tape
Seven losses, -7.0R given back across four instruments, longest losing streak of 4. The deepest trough in the published record. The recap counts the full 12-trade canonical ledger; the drawdown report counts the loss side.
- - Mar 20·Case Study·USDJPY·LONG-
USDJPY Long on March 20: Five Evaluations, One Enter, +2.90R to TP3
The Friday closer of the March 16 to 22 mixed week. Four waits, one enter at 159.058. The Trend Agent held the 158.94 stop and let the position run fifty-four hours and forty-six minutes to TP3 at 159.40.
Mar 20Case StudyUSDJPY·LONG-USDJPY Long on March 20: Five Evaluations, One Enter, +2.90R to TP3
The Friday closer of the March 16 to 22 mixed week. Four waits, one enter at 159.058. The Trend Agent held the 158.94 stop and let the position run fifty-four hours and forty-six minutes to TP3 at 159.40.
- - Mar 19·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on March 19: A Failed Bounce Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A SHORT at 6596.9 into VWAP and prior-day-low resistance, four waits and one enter at 74 percent confidence, a 3h 55m hold to TP1 for +1.18R inside the worst week of the published record.
Mar 19Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on March 19: A Failed Bounce Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A SHORT at 6596.9 into VWAP and prior-day-low resistance, four waits and one enter at 74 percent confidence, a 3h 55m hold to TP1 for +1.18R inside the worst week of the published record.
- - Mar 18·Case Study·EURUSD·SHORT-
EURUSD Short on March 18: Eleven Evaluations, Ten Waits, +1.81R to TP3
The second EURUSD short of the same NY-AM tape. Ten waits across fifteen minutes, one enter at 1.15232. The Trend Agent held the 1.1541 stop and let the position run two hours and fifty-five minutes to TP3 at 1.1491.
Mar 18Case StudyEURUSD·SHORT-EURUSD Short on March 18: Eleven Evaluations, Ten Waits, +1.81R to TP3
The second EURUSD short of the same NY-AM tape. Ten waits across fifteen minutes, one enter at 1.15232. The Trend Agent held the 1.1541 stop and let the position run two hours and fifty-five minutes to TP3 at 1.1491.
- - Mar 16·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on March 16: A B-Grade Buy-the-Dip Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A LONG pullback at 6706 with two waits, one enter at 72 percent confidence into a lean-bear FOMC backdrop, a 59-minute ride to TP1 for +1.5R inside the worst weekly stretch of the published record.
Mar 16Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on March 16: A B-Grade Buy-the-Dip Inside the Deepest Drawdown Week
A LONG pullback at 6706 with two waits, one enter at 72 percent confidence into a lean-bear FOMC backdrop, a 59-minute ride to TP1 for +1.5R inside the worst weekly stretch of the published record.
- - Mar 16·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Four Losses, No Winners: How a 35% System Reads Its Worst Published Week
Four trades, zero winners, -4.00R net. Three SL hits across two sessions, a fourth on Friday, and a system that did not change posture once. The worst week on the published record.
Mar 16Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Four Losses, No Winners: How a 35% System Reads Its Worst Published Week
Four trades, zero winners, -4.00R net. Three SL hits across two sessions, a fourth on Friday, and a system that did not change posture once. The worst week on the published record.
- - Mar 16·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Mar 9-15, 2026: Four-of-Four, the Variance Envelope at Week Resolution
Four trades, four losses, -4.00R given back, the longest losing streak in the published record. No winners offset the draw. Same playbook, same threshold, same sizing absorbed the streak without intervention.
Mar 16Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Mar 9-15, 2026: Four-of-Four, the Variance Envelope at Week Resolution
Four trades, four losses, -4.00R given back, the longest losing streak in the published record. No winners offset the draw. Same playbook, same threshold, same sizing absorbed the streak without intervention.
- - Mar 09·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Republished With Real Numbers: How March Opened +1.38R After the Phantom Fix
Five trades, three winners, two losses, +1.38R net on a TP1 baseline. The original Mar 2 to Mar 8 recap printed seven trades and a losing week. A methodology fix dropped two phantom rows. This is the corrected ledger.
Mar 09Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Republished With Real Numbers: How March Opened +1.38R After the Phantom Fix
Five trades, three winners, two losses, +1.38R net on a TP1 baseline. The original Mar 2 to Mar 8 recap printed seven trades and a losing week. A methodology fix dropped two phantom rows. This is the corrected ledger.
- - Mar 09·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Two Losses, Net Positive: A Drawdown Week That Closed Green
Two losses, -2.00R given back, longest streak of one. The same five sessions produced three winners and a 60 percent win rate. Net for Mar 2-8 closed at +1.38R. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
Mar 09Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Two Losses, Net Positive: A Drawdown Week That Closed Green
Two losses, -2.00R given back, longest streak of one. The same five sessions produced three winners and a 60 percent win rate. Net for Mar 2-8 closed at +1.38R. This is what asymmetry looks like at week resolution.
- - Mar 02·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Nine Trades, Five Winners, Four Stops: Feb 23 to Mar 1 Closes +0.8R
Nine entries across the index complex, five winners, four stops, +0.8R net on a TP1 baseline. NAS100 carried the front of the week, US30 produced the largest single winner on Friday, and a late US500 long gave back equity at the close.
Mar 02Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Nine Trades, Five Winners, Four Stops: Feb 23 to Mar 1 Closes +0.8R
Nine entries across the index complex, five winners, four stops, +0.8R net on a TP1 baseline. NAS100 carried the front of the week, US30 produced the largest single winner on Friday, and a late US500 long gave back equity at the close.
- - Mar 02·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Feb 23 to Mar 1 Drawdown Report: 4 Losses Given Back for Minus 4R
Four losses, all at minus 1R. Net minus 4R for the loss-side ledger across 9 canonical trades. Longest streak two, back to back on Thursday. The loss-side ledger for Feb 23 to Mar 1, paired with the statistical context that explains it.
Mar 02Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Feb 23 to Mar 1 Drawdown Report: 4 Losses Given Back for Minus 4R
Four losses, all at minus 1R. Net minus 4R for the loss-side ledger across 9 canonical trades. Longest streak two, back to back on Thursday. The loss-side ledger for Feb 23 to Mar 1, paired with the statistical context that explains it.
- - Mar 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
February 2026 Monthly Recap: 24 Trades, 62.5 Percent, +6.64R Net
Twenty-four trades, fifteen winners, nine losers, +6.64R net on a TP1 baseline. The first full calendar month of the published record, carried by US30 and finished with a closing-week TP3 cluster.
Mar 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-February 2026 Monthly Recap: 24 Trades, 62.5 Percent, +6.64R Net
Twenty-four trades, fifteen winners, nine losers, +6.64R net on a TP1 baseline. The first full calendar month of the published record, carried by US30 and finished with a closing-week TP3 cluster.
- - Feb 25·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on Feb 25: The Breakout-Retest That Took TP2 in a Losing Month
Four evaluations in four minutes, a long entry at 25,285.2 on a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 94.8-point move through TP1 to TP2 for +1.26R inside a thin February.
Feb 25Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on Feb 25: The Breakout-Retest That Took TP2 in a Losing Month
Four evaluations in four minutes, a long entry at 25,285.2 on a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 94.8-point move through TP1 to TP2 for +1.26R inside a thin February.
- - Feb 23·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Five Trades, Four Winners, Two Clean TP3 Shorts: Feb 16-22
A short, sharp week. Five entries, four winners, two clean US30 shorts that rode all the way to TP3. Net +1.73R on the simulated account, the best win rate of February so far.
Feb 23Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Five Trades, Four Winners, Two Clean TP3 Shorts: Feb 16-22
A short, sharp week. Five entries, four winners, two clean US30 shorts that rode all the way to TP3. Net +1.73R on the simulated account, the best win rate of February so far.
- - Feb 23·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Weekly Losses, One NAS100 Short Stops Out During a 4-Win Week
Five trades on the week, four wins, one loss. The single stop-out came on a NAS100 short Wednesday afternoon. YTD ledger holds at +8.86R, comfortably above water.
Feb 23Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Weekly Losses, One NAS100 Short Stops Out During a 4-Win Week
Five trades on the week, four wins, one loss. The single stop-out came on a NAS100 short Wednesday afternoon. YTD ledger holds at +8.86R, comfortably above water.
- - Feb 17·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on Feb 17: The Pullback-to-Go in a Month That Wouldn't Cooperate
Four evaluations across four minutes, a long entry at 24,657.5 inside a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 51.5-point move to TP1 in 70 minutes for +0.62R.
Feb 17Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on Feb 17: The Pullback-to-Go in a Month That Wouldn't Cooperate
Four evaluations across four minutes, a long entry at 24,657.5 inside a TRENDING NAS100 tape with the Trend Agent at 82% bullish, and a 51.5-point move to TP1 in 70 minutes for +0.62R.
- - Feb 17·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on February 17: The First Win After Ten Losses, Earned at +0.43R
Four evaluations across four minutes, an entry at 49,536.1 inside a TRANSITIONING regime with HEADWIND macro alignment, and a 53.9-point move to TP1 in 1h 9m for +0.43R on a month that had paid -10R in front of it.
Feb 17Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on February 17: The First Win After Ten Losses, Earned at +0.43R
Four evaluations across four minutes, an entry at 49,536.1 inside a TRANSITIONING regime with HEADWIND macro alignment, and a 53.9-point move to TP1 in 1h 9m for +0.43R on a month that had paid -10R in front of it.
- - Feb 16·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
Nine Trades, Six Winners, +5.1R: Feb 9-15 Weekly Recap
Nine entries, six winners, three losses, 66.7 percent win rate. The week closed at +5.10R on a TP1-baseline scoreboard, the strongest week of February so far on the simulated account.
Feb 16Weekly RecapWEEKLY-Nine Trades, Six Winners, +5.1R: Feb 9-15 Weekly Recap
Nine entries, six winners, three losses, 66.7 percent win rate. The week closed at +5.10R on a TP1-baseline scoreboard, the strongest week of February so far on the simulated account.
- - Feb 16·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Three Losses Inside a Winning Week: The Feb 9-15 Drawdown Report
Three losses, all at -1R, on a week that closed +5.10R net across 9 trades. The loss-side ledger for Feb 9-15, paired with the statistical context that explains why winning weeks still produce drawdowns.
Feb 16Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Three Losses Inside a Winning Week: The Feb 9-15 Drawdown Report
Three losses, all at -1R, on a week that closed +5.10R net across 9 trades. The loss-side ledger for Feb 9-15, paired with the statistical context that explains why winning weeks still produce drawdowns.
- - Feb 13·Case Study·US30·SHORT-
US30 Short on Feb 13: The Nine-Minute Fade Against the Carry Tape
A single evaluation at 15:02 UTC, a short into the 49,360 to 49,410 supply zone with the Trend Agent reading bullish at 63%, and a 71-point move to TP1 in nine minutes for +0.57R.
Feb 13Case StudyUS30·SHORT-US30 Short on Feb 13: The Nine-Minute Fade Against the Carry Tape
A single evaluation at 15:02 UTC, a short into the 49,360 to 49,410 supply zone with the Trend Agent reading bullish at 63%, and a 71-point move to TP1 in nine minutes for +0.57R.
- - Feb 13·Case Study·US500·LONG-
US500 Long on February 13: A Single-Cycle Continuation to TP2 for +1.02R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on the first evaluation at 16:34 UTC into a VWAP reclaim and prior-day-high breakout. The position ran from 6850.8 to TP2 at 6868 for +1.02R, the first green print of February 2026.
Feb 13Case StudyUS500·LONG-US500 Long on February 13: A Single-Cycle Continuation to TP2 for +1.02R
A C+ long on the S&P 500 triggered on the first evaluation at 16:34 UTC into a VWAP reclaim and prior-day-high breakout. The position ran from 6850.8 to TP2 at 6868 for +1.02R, the first green print of February 2026.
- - Feb 13·Case Study·US500·SHORT-
US500 Short on Feb 13: A Bullish Trend Read That Still Fired the Fade
Three evaluations across ten minutes, a Trend Agent stuck at BULLISH 66%, and a counter-trend short into the 6846 to 6852 resistance band that closed TP1 at 6830 for +0.74R inside an hour and fourteen minutes.
Feb 13Case StudyUS500·SHORT-US500 Short on Feb 13: A Bullish Trend Read That Still Fired the Fade
Three evaluations across ten minutes, a Trend Agent stuck at BULLISH 66%, and a counter-trend short into the 6846 to 6852 resistance band that closed TP1 at 6830 for +0.74R inside an hour and fourteen minutes.
- - Feb 11·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on February 11: The Responsive Buy That Held the Floor
A Fed-easing tape, a 5-minute reclaim of 50,000, and a single-evaluation enter at 16:02 UTC. The Trend Agent took the responsive long inside the C+ pullback zone and ran it +2.64R to TP1.
Feb 11Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on February 11: The Responsive Buy That Held the Floor
A Fed-easing tape, a 5-minute reclaim of 50,000, and a single-evaluation enter at 16:02 UTC. The Trend Agent took the responsive long inside the C+ pullback zone and ran it +2.64R to TP1.
- - Feb 10·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on Feb 10: Twenty-Eight Minutes of Discipline at the VWAP Pullback
Thirteen declines across twenty-eight minutes, one enter at 16:30 UTC, and a 1-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +2.3R. The first credited winner of the year on a transitioning Dow tape with macro flagged HEADWIND.
Feb 10Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on Feb 10: Twenty-Eight Minutes of Discipline at the VWAP Pullback
Thirteen declines across twenty-eight minutes, one enter at 16:30 UTC, and a 1-hour-46-minute hold to TP1 for +2.3R. The first credited winner of the year on a transitioning Dow tape with macro flagged HEADWIND.
- - Feb 09·Case Study·US30·LONG-
US30 Long on February 9: A Single-Pass Pullback Buy
One evaluation at 15:02 UTC, 63% confidence, immediate entry into a 78.6 to 61.8 fib pocket on the 48,609 to 50,244 swing. Thirty minutes to TP2 at 50,160 for +2.02R on a transitioning macro tape.
Feb 09Case StudyUS30·LONG-US30 Long on February 9: A Single-Pass Pullback Buy
One evaluation at 15:02 UTC, 63% confidence, immediate entry into a 78.6 to 61.8 fib pocket on the 48,609 to 50,244 swing. Thirty minutes to TP2 at 50,160 for +2.02R on a transitioning macro tape.
- - Feb 09·Weekly Recap·WEEKLY-
The Week the System Took One Trade — Feb 2-8 Weekly Recap
One trade, one loss, four sessions of zero activity. The first published week of February shows what a system looks like when the macro tape gives it nothing to trade. Net −1R on the simulated account.
Feb 09Weekly RecapWEEKLY-The Week the System Took One Trade — Feb 2-8 Weekly Recap
One trade, one loss, four sessions of zero activity. The first published week of February shows what a system looks like when the macro tape gives it nothing to trade. Net −1R on the simulated account.
- - Feb 09·Weekly Losses·WEEKLY LOSSES-
Weekly Losses, One Trade, One Stop on US30 During Feb 2-8
A single US30 long entered on Wednesday stopped at -1.00R. The Trend Agent stayed flat for the rest of the week. One loss against +2.02R YTD on the running ledger.
Feb 09Weekly LossesWEEKLY LOSSES-Weekly Losses, One Trade, One Stop on US30 During Feb 2-8
A single US30 long entered on Wednesday stopped at -1.00R. The Trend Agent stayed flat for the rest of the week. One loss against +2.02R YTD on the running ledger.
- - Feb 01·Monthly Recap·MONTHLY-
January 2026 Monthly Recap: Launch Month, Three Winners, +3.02R
Three trades. Three winners. 100 percent win rate at plus 3.02R net on the TP1 baseline. The launch month delivered early system traction across NAS100 and US30 with the four-agent gate coming online.
Feb 01Monthly RecapMONTHLY-January 2026 Monthly Recap: Launch Month, Three Winners, +3.02R
Three trades. Three winners. 100 percent win rate at plus 3.02R net on the TP1 baseline. The launch month delivered early system traction across NAS100 and US30 with the four-agent gate coming online.
- - Jan 20·Case Study·US30.CASH-FTMO·SHORT-
US30 Short on January 20 - The Standout Launch-Period Trade
Seventeen evaluations, one ENTER on a Short the Bounce on the FTMO US30 into a tariff-headline risk-off tape. The position ran 345 points to TP3 with zero recorded drawdown. Result: +3.67R full, +1.12R TP1 baseline.
Jan 20Case StudyUS30.CASH-FTMO·SHORT-US30 Short on January 20 - The Standout Launch-Period Trade
Seventeen evaluations, one ENTER on a Short the Bounce on the FTMO US30 into a tariff-headline risk-off tape. The position ran 345 points to TP3 with zero recorded drawdown. Result: +3.67R full, +1.12R TP1 baseline.
- - Jan 15·Case Study·NAS100·LONG-
NAS100 Long on January 15 - A Launch-Period Pullback Entry
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Pullback Long taken on the Pepperstone NAS100 in NY active. The position banked TP1 in 38 minutes; the runner reversed back to stop. Result: +0.78R on TP1 baseline.
Jan 15Case StudyNAS100·LONG-NAS100 Long on January 15 - A Launch-Period Pullback Entry
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Pullback Long taken on the Pepperstone NAS100 in NY active. The position banked TP1 in 38 minutes; the runner reversed back to stop. Result: +0.78R on TP1 baseline.
- - Jan 12·Case Study·US100.CASH-FTMO·LONG-
US100 Long on January 12 - A Launch-Period Breakout Continuation
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Breakout Continuation long taken on the FTMO US100. The position ran past TP1, hit TP2, and faded back to the runner's stop. Result: +1.12R on TP1 baseline.
Jan 12Case StudyUS100.CASH-FTMO·LONG-US100 Long on January 12 - A Launch-Period Breakout Continuation
Eight evaluations, one ENTER on a Breakout Continuation long taken on the FTMO US100. The position ran past TP1, hit TP2, and faded back to the runner's stop. Result: +1.12R on TP1 baseline.
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